← All games
Mar 26, 2026
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"Rays 29% · tied 11% · Cardinals 60%
Cardinals earned it
Cardinals deserved to win and did, beating Rays 9–7.
- This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
- Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.