← All games
Guardians at Cardinals · Apr 14, 2026
Simulated win probability ("deserved to win")Guardians 57% · tied 12% · Cardinals 31%
Cardinals stole one
Guardians did more to deserve the win, but Cardinals took it 6-5.
- This is the quick view. The full recap, with batted balls, the luck ledger and pitcher lines, is not built for every game.
- The simulator replays the game ten thousand times from each batted ball's exit velocity, launch angle and spray angle, and Deserve-to-Win is the share of replays each team wins.