MLB Deserve-to-Win
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Padres @ Cardinals, 06/15/2026 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
Jun 15, 2026
Padres
0
Final
Game 823046
Cardinals
3
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
Padres
10%
· tied 22%
·
Cardinals
68%
Cardinals earned it
Cardinals deserved to win and did, beating Padres 3–0.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.