MLB Deserve-to-Win
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Cubs @ Rays, 04/07/2026 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
Apr 7, 2026
Cubs
9
Final
Game 822999
Rays
2
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
Cubs
95%
· tied 3%
·
Rays
2%
Cubs earned it
Cubs deserved to win and did, beating Rays 9–2.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.