MLB Deserve-to-Win
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Yankees @ Rays, 04/10/2026 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
Apr 10, 2026
Yankees
3
Final
Game 822997
Rays
5
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
Yankees
15%
· tied 12%
·
Rays
73%
Rays earned it
Rays deserved to win and did, beating Yankees 5–3.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.