Skip to main content
← All games

Reds at Rays · Apr 20, 2026

Simulated win probability ("deserved to win")Reds 42% · tied 17% · Rays 41%

Reds edged it

The simulator saw a near coin flip, and Reds came out ahead of Rays 6-1.

  • This is the quick view. The full recap, with batted balls, the luck ledger and pitcher lines, is not built for every game.
  • The simulator replays the game ten thousand times from each batted ball's exit velocity, launch angle and spray angle, and Deserve-to-Win is the share of replays each team wins.