Skip to main content
← All games
May 3, 2026
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"Giants 36% · tied 21% · Rays 43%

Rays edged it

A near coin-flip on paper — Rays came out ahead of Giants 2–1.

  • This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
  • Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.