MLB Deserve-to-Win
Home
Games
Standings
Teams
Hitters
Pitchers
Tools
About
Home
Games
Standings
Teams
Hitters
Pitchers
Tools
About
Search players and teams
Loading…
One moment while the latest numbers come in.
Angels @ Rays, 05/29/2026 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
May 29, 2026
Angels
5
Final
Game 822978
Rays
8
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
Angels
17%
· tied 11%
·
Rays
72%
Rays earned it
Rays deserved to win and did, beating Angels 8–5.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.