MLB Deserve-to-Win
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Dodgers @ Blue Jays, 04/07/2026 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
Apr 7, 2026
Dodgers
4
Final
Game 822831
Blue Jays
1
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
Dodgers
66%
· tied 15%
·
Blue Jays
19%
Dodgers earned it
Dodgers deserved to win and did, beating Blue Jays 4–1.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.