MLB Deserve-to-Win
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Pirates @ Blue Jays, 05/22/2026 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
May 22, 2026
Pirates
2
Final
Game 822816
Blue Jays
6
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
Pirates
9%
· tied 8%
·
Blue Jays
83%
Blue Jays earned it
Blue Jays deserved to win and did, beating Pirates 6–2.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.