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Jun 1, 2026
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"Marlins 81% · tied 8% · Nationals 10%
Marlins earned it
Marlins deserved to win and did, beating Nationals 7–3.
- This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
- Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.