MLB Deserve-to-Win
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Blue Jays @ Red Sox, 04/07/2025 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
Apr 7, 2025
Blue Jays
6
Final
Game 778426
Red Sox
2
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
Blue Jays
97%
· tied 2%
·
Red Sox
2%
Blue Jays earned it
Blue Jays deserved to win and did, beating Red Sox 6–2.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.