José Fermin
2026Grade
Below league average across the board.
Fermin has been below average at limiting damage
The simulator expects 0.464 bases allowed per batter faced against him — better than 33rd percentile of qualified pitchers. His standout tool is Strikeouts (78th percentile). The soft spot is Quiet Contact (19th percentile). Short relief stints inflate strikeout rates a touch, so read the Strikeouts spoke with that in mind.
185 batters faced · data through 2026-08-22.
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Plays like…
Same archetype, nearest by rate — pick one to see him side by side with José Fermin.
Pitcher type
Pitcher type
Where he sits among qualified pitchers on the two skills that separate styles.
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| José Fermin | League median | Percentile | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bases per ball in play(lower = better) | .594 | .528 | 33rd |
| Walk rate(lower = better) | 11% | 9% | 22nd |
| Strikeout rate(higher = better) | 25% | 22% | 78th |
100th percentile = best in MLB.
Arsenal
José Fermin leans on his slider (58% of pitches). His best pitch has been the slider, saving 0.8 bases per 100 thrown vs average, and his slider runs 3.5 mph above the league norm.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
allowed 86 bases vs a replacement arm's 95 over the same batters faced
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
1.1 bases saved vs league average, across 678 pitches — 0.2 per 100.
His four-seam fastball and changeup aren't in the charts below — too few of each were tracked this season.
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Mix by batter side
Compared with the league, his sinker tilts 26 points more toward lefties.
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José Fermin's pitch movement, 2026
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By appearance
One point per outing — how his velocity, movement, and pitch mix have moved across the season, with league context for scale. Each pitch keeps the same color in every chart. His four-seam fastball and changeup aren't in these charts — too few of each were tracked this season.
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
Better vs RHB than vs LHB by 0.041 EB/PA allowed (modeled).
50% probable range: +0.034 to +0.050
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.445 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.426 to 0.466, based on 84 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.606 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.454 EB/PA.
Raw vs LHB rate (0.606) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.404 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.383 to 0.425, based on 101 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.390 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.440 EB/PA.
About the typical split for a righty arm (median 0.040). He allows less than the league median against both sides, so his weaker side is still a strength — not a hole.
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- Tap or hover any mark for its number, or tab to a row for all of them.
- His raw rate is the unshrunk number against that side — small samples make it noisy, which is why the model pulls his estimate toward a more trustworthy value.
- “Middle half of the league” is the 25th–75th percentile of all pitchers against that side.
- These are bases allowed, so lower is better. Weighted by how often he faces each side, the two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed — not the xEB/PA headline at the top of the page, which folds in strikeouts and walks differently.
- Shrunk splits beat raw splits on held-out seasons, most decisively at low batters-faced counts (relievers especially), and converge with the raw numbers as exposure builds.
Contact allowed
Batters go to the pull side off him most often, and that's where the hardest contact comes from.
Pull and oppo are relative to each batter's stance, so this pools all the hitters he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Luck check
Escaped damage 3 times — crushed balls the simulator scores as near-certain hits that died in gloves behind him.
Burned 2 times — balls with a hit probability under 20% that found grass anyway.
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Earned vs. actual
Batters have been credited about 6 fewer bases than their contact off José Fermin earned — his results have run fortunate so far.
over 112 balls in play · walks and strikeouts excluded on both sides
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ERA 3.16 · WHIP 1.29 · BABIP against 0.274 (Lg median 0.286)
Best games
Best games
His best outings this season by bases saved vs a replacement arm.
- vs AthleticsJun 28, 2026
6 BF · 1 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.9
- Above replacement
- +2.1
- vs TigersMay 26, 2026
4 BF · 3 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.0
- Above replacement
- +2.0
- vs RangersAug 11, 2026
4 BF · 3 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.0
- Above replacement
- +2.0
- vs Red SoxJul 5, 2026
7 BF · 1 K, 1 BB
- Bases allowed
- 1.7
- Above replacement
- +1.9
- vs OriolesJun 24, 2026
4 BF · 1 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.3
- Above replacement
- +1.8
Trends
Multi-season trends · José Fermin
HR allowed% down, BB% down, Barrel% against down, GB% against up, FB% against down, Pull% against up vs last season
Actual rates — what happened on the field, season by season.