Mitch Farris
2026Grade
Below league average across the board.
Farris is getting hit harder than most pitchers
The simulator expects 0.474 bases allowed per batter faced against him — better than 21st percentile of qualified pitchers. The soft spot is Quiet Contact (5th percentile). Short relief stints inflate strikeout rates a touch, so read the Strikeouts spoke with that in mind.
204 batters faced · data through 2026-08-22.
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Plays like…
Same archetype, nearest by rate — pick one to see him side by side with Mitch Farris.
Pitcher type
Pitcher type
Where he sits among qualified pitchers on the two skills that separate styles.
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| Mitch Farris | League median | Percentile | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bases per ball in play(lower = better) | .638 | .528 | 21st |
| Walk rate(lower = better) | 11% | 9% | 21st |
| Strikeout rate(higher = better) | 23% | 22% | 59th |
100th percentile = best in MLB.
Arsenal
Mitch Farris leans on his four-seam fastball (49% of pitches). No pitch has beaten league-average results yet — the changeup has come closest, with a 47% whiff rate.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
allowed 102 bases vs a replacement arm's 105 over the same batters faced
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
13.9 bases cost vs league average, across 761 pitches — 1.8 per 100.
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Mix by batter side
Compared with the league, his four-seam fastball tilts 15 points more toward lefties.
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Mitch Farris's pitch movement, 2026
His Slider has moved 2+ inches from its early-season shape; his other 3 have not.
Compared with his own earlier outings this season, not with other pitchers — and after taking out the drift every pitch in the league shows through midsummer.
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By appearance
One point per outing — how his velocity, movement, and pitch mix have moved across the season, with league context for scale. Each pitch keeps the same color in every chart.
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
Better vs LHB than vs RHB by 0.039 EB/PA allowed (modeled).
50% probable range: +0.029 to +0.047
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.458 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.437 to 0.478, based on 90 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.476 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.454 EB/PA.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.496 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.477 to 0.518, based on 116 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.525 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.440 EB/PA.
About the typical split for a lefty arm (median 0.039). Against righty bats he allows more than the league median — a genuine platoon vulnerability.
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- Tap or hover any mark for its number, or tab to a row for all of them.
- His raw rate is the unshrunk number against that side — small samples make it noisy, which is why the model pulls his estimate toward a more trustworthy value.
- “Middle half of the league” is the 25th–75th percentile of all pitchers against that side.
- These are bases allowed, so lower is better. Weighted by how often he faces each side, the two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed — not the xEB/PA headline at the top of the page, which folds in strikeouts and walks differently.
- Shrunk splits beat raw splits on held-out seasons, most decisively at low batters-faced counts (relievers especially), and converge with the raw numbers as exposure builds.
Contact allowed
Batters go to the pull side off him most often, and that's where the hardest contact comes from.
Pull and oppo are relative to each batter's stance, so this pools all the hitters he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Luck check
Escaped damage 2 times — crushed balls the simulator scores as near-certain hits that died in gloves behind him.
Burned 4 times — balls with a hit probability under 20% that found grass anyway.
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Earned vs. actual
Results have matched the contact quality — batters have been credited about what they earned off Mitch Farris.
over 125 balls in play · walks and strikeouts excluded on both sides
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ERA 4.18 · WHIP 1.52 · BABIP against 0.319 (Lg median 0.286)
Best games
Best games
His best outings this season by bases saved vs a replacement arm.
- vs RaysJun 12, 2026
13 BF · 2 K, 2 BB, 3 H
- Bases allowed
- 2.2
- Above replacement
- +4.5
- vs RaysMay 31, 2026
17 BF · 4 K, 3 BB, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 6.4
- Above replacement
- +3.1
- vs DodgersMay 17, 2026
6 BF · 3 K, 1 BB
- Bases allowed
- 1.3
- Above replacement
- +1.8
- vs White SoxApr 29, 2026
14 BF · 3 K, 2 BB, 3 H
- Bases allowed
- 5.4
- Above replacement
- +1.8
- vs DodgersJun 7, 2026
3 BF · 3 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.0
- Above replacement
- +1.5
Trends
Multi-season trends · Mitch Farris
HR allowed% up, Barrel% against down, GB% against up, FB% against down, Pull% against up vs last season
Actual rates — what happened on the field, season by season.