Tyler Davis
2026Grade
Misses bats in bunches; lives with the walks.
Davis sits right around league average
The simulator expects him to allow 0.454 bases per batter faced, better than 49% of qualified pitchers. His weakest skill is limiting walks (10th percentile). Short relief outings push strikeout rates up a little, so read his K% spoke with that in mind.
His grade rests on 128 batters faced, with data through 2026-09-27.
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Plays like…
Each of these pitchers shares his archetype and sits closest to him in xEB/PA. Pick one to see him side by side with Tyler Davis.
Pitcher type
Pitcher type
He lands in the “Hit hard, few strikeouts” corner of the map.
League best:K% − BB% Jacob Misiorowski (26.8%)Hard-hit% allowed Blake Snell (29.0%)
How to read this chart
| Tyler Davis | League median | Percentile | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bases per ball in play(lower = better) | .438 | .527 | — |
| Walk rate(lower = better) | 12% | 9% | 10th |
| Strikeout rate(higher = better) | 22% | 22% | 44th |
A higher percentile is better, and the 99th is the top of the league.
Arsenal
Tyler Davis leans on his four-seam fastball (62% of pitches). His best pitch has been the slider, saving 2.4 bases per 100 thrown against league average.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
He allowed about 52 estimated bases, against a replacement arm's 67 over the same batters faced.
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
He saved 7.1 bases against league average across 457 pitches, or 1.6 per 100 pitches.
His splitter isn't in the charts below, because only 31 of them were tracked with velocity and movement data this season.
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Mix by batter side
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Tyler Davis's pitch movement, 2026
His Slider has moved 2+ inches from its early-season shape.
The verdict above compares each pitch with his own early-season outings in 2026, not with other pitchers, after taking out the league-wide drift in break.
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By appearance
These charts follow his velocity, movement and pitch mix one outing at a time, and each pitch keeps the same color in every chart. The velocity and movement charts also shade the middle of the league for scale. His splitter isn't in these charts, because only 31 of them were tracked with velocity and movement data this season.
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
He handles righty bats better than lefty bats, by 0.042 EB/PA allowed.
50% probable range: +0.033 to +0.050
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.494 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.474 to 0.516, based on 49 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.433 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.451 EB/PA.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.452 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.431 to 0.473, based on 80 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.400 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.435 EB/PA.
His raw rate vs RHB (0.400) is off this scale. Small samples can push a raw rate this far, which is why the dot, the shrunk estimate, is the number to trust.
His split is about typical for a righty arm (median 0.042). He allows more than the league median against both sides.
How to read this chart
- Each dot is his estimate against that side, with its 50% probable range as the bar. These are bases allowed, so lower is better.
- The diamond is his raw rate, which small samples make noisy, so the simulator pulls the dot toward a more trustworthy value.
- The dashed tick is the league median, and the shaded strip is the middle half of pitchers with 100 or more batters faced.
- The two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed, not the xEB/PA headline.
- Tap or hover a mark for its number. LHB and RHB are left- and right-handed batters. More on the About page
Contact allowed
Batters go to the pull side off him most often, but they do the most damage to the opposite field.
Pull side and opposite field depend on which side each batter hits from, so this pools every hitter he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Luck check
2 outs behind him came on balls the simulator values at 1.5 bases or more.
One hit off him had less than a 20% chance of being a hit.
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Deserved vs. actual
Batters have been credited with about the bases their contact off Tyler Davis deserved.
Both bars count 85 balls in play, with walks and strikeouts left out.
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ERA 3.66 · WHIP 1.16 · BABIP against 0.220 (Lg median 0.286)
Best games
Best games
These are his best outings this season, ranked by bases saved against a replacement arm.
- vs GiantsMay 24, 2026score only
7 BF · 1 K, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 1.2
- Above replacement
- +2.4
- vs AngelsMay 5, 2026score only
4 BF · 1 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.4
- Above replacement
- +1.7
- vs MarinersMay 19, 2026score only
6 BF · 4 K, 1 BB
- Bases allowed
- 1.5
- Above replacement
- +1.7
- vs TwinsMay 28, 2026score only
5 BF · 2 K, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 1.0
- Above replacement
- +1.6
- vs PadresMay 1, 2026score only
3 BF · 1 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.0
- Above replacement
- +1.5