Elmer Rodríguez
2026Grade
A blend of skills without one defining trait.
Rodríguez is getting hit harder than most pitchers
The simulator expects 0.479 bases allowed per batter faced against him — better than 17th percentile of qualified pitchers. His standout tool is HR Suppression (81st percentile). The soft spot is Command (11th percentile).
125 batters faced · data through 2026-09-11.
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Plays like…
Same archetype, nearest by rate — pick one to see him side by side with Elmer Rodríguez.
Pitcher type
Pitcher type
Where he sits among qualified pitchers on the two skills that separate styles.
League best:K% − BB% Jacob Misiorowski (26.7%)Hard-hit% against Blake Snell (29.8%)
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| Elmer Rodríguez | League median | Percentile | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bases per ball in play(lower = better) | .403 | .527 | 17th |
| Walk rate(lower = better) | 12% | 9% | 11th |
| Strikeout rate(higher = better) | 20% | 22% | 19th |
100th percentile = best in MLB.
Arsenal
Elmer Rodríguez leans on his sinker (46% of pitches). His best pitch has been the sweeper, saving 1.6 bases per 100 thrown vs average.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
allowed 48 bases vs a replacement arm's 67 over the same batters faced
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
3.3 bases saved vs league average, across 453 pitches — 0.7 per 100.
His changeup isn't in the charts below — only 39 of them were tracked with velocity and movement data this season.
Rarely used: cutter (1%)
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Mix by batter side
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Elmer Rodríguez's pitch movement, 2026
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By appearance
One point per outing — how his velocity, movement, and pitch mix have moved across the season, with league context for scale. Each pitch keeps the same color in every chart. His changeup isn't in these charts — only 39 of them were tracked with velocity and movement data this season.
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
Better vs RHB than vs LHB by 0.043 EB/PA allowed (modeled).
50% probable range: +0.034 to +0.051
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.487 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.466 to 0.508, based on 54 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.484 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.455 EB/PA.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.444 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.424 to 0.465, based on 71 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.398 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.438 EB/PA.
Raw vs RHB rate (0.398) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.
About the typical split for a righty arm (median 0.043). He allows more than the league median against both sides.
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- Tap or hover any mark for its number, or tab to a row for all of them.
- His raw rate is the unshrunk number against that side — small samples make it noisy, which is why the simulator pulls his estimate toward a more trustworthy value.
- “Middle half of the league” is the 25th–75th percentile of all pitchers against that side.
- These are bases allowed, so lower is better. Weighted by how often he faces each side, the two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed — not the xEB/PA headline at the top of the page, which folds in strikeouts and walks differently.
- Shrunk splits beat raw splits on held-out seasons, most decisively at low batters-faced counts (relievers especially), and converge with the raw numbers as exposure builds.
Contact allowed
Batters go up the middle off him most often, but the hardest contact goes to the opposite field.
Pull and oppo are relative to each batter's stance, so this pools all the hitters he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Luck check
Burned 5 times — balls with a hit probability under 20% that found grass anyway.
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Earned vs. actual
Results have matched the contact quality — batters have been credited about what they earned off Elmer Rodríguez.
over 83 balls in play · walks and strikeouts excluded on both sides
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ERA 5.40 · WHIP 1.58 · BABIP against 0.296 (Lg median 0.287)
Best games
Best games
His best outings this season by bases saved vs a replacement arm.
- vs AstrosAug 26, 2026
22 BF · 6 K, 2 BB, 3 H, 1 HR
- Bases allowed
- 8.1
- Above replacement
- +3.6
- vs MetsMay 17, 2026
20 BF · 1 K, 1 BB, 5 H, 1 HBP
- Bases allowed
- 7.1
- Above replacement
- +3.5
- vs RangersApr 29, 2026score only
20 BF · 3 K, 4 BB, 4 H, 1 HBP
- Bases allowed
- 8.1
- Above replacement
- +2.5
- vs RedsJun 21, 2026
19 BF · 4 K, 2 BB, 4 H, 1 HR
- Bases allowed
- 8.8
- Above replacement
- +1.3
- vs AngelsAug 31, 2026
20 BF · 5 K, 3 BB, 4 H, 2 HBP
- Bases allowed
- 9.7
- Above replacement
- +0.9