Blade Tidwell
2026Grade
Below league average across the board.
Tidwell is getting hit harder than most pitchers
The simulator expects 0.475 bases allowed per batter faced against him — better than 21st percentile of qualified pitchers. The soft spot is Strikeouts (25th percentile).
197 batters faced · data through 2026-09-11.
How to read this chart
Plays like…
Same archetype, nearest by rate — pick one to see him side by side with Blade Tidwell.
Pitcher type
Pitcher type
Where he sits among qualified pitchers on the two skills that separate styles.
League best:K% − BB% Jacob Misiorowski (26.7%)Hard-hit% against Blake Snell (29.8%)
How to read this chart
| Blade Tidwell | League median | Percentile | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bases per ball in play(lower = better) | .524 | .527 | 21st |
| Walk rate(lower = better) | 10% | 9% | 33rd |
| Strikeout rate(higher = better) | 20% | 22% | 25th |
100th percentile = best in MLB.
Arsenal
Blade Tidwell mixes his sweeper (34%) and four-seam fastball (33%). His best pitch has been the sweeper, saving 1.9 bases per 100 thrown vs average.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
allowed 90 bases vs a replacement arm's 105 over the same batters faced
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
6.4 bases cost vs league average, across 743 pitches — 0.9 per 100.
His changeup and curveball aren't in the charts below — too few of each were tracked this season.
How to read this chart
Mix by batter side
How to read this chart
Blade Tidwell's pitch movement, 2026
His Sinker has moved 2+ inches from its early-season shape.
Compared with his own earlier outings this season, not with other pitchers — and after taking out the drift every pitch in the league shows through midsummer.
How to read this chart
By appearance
One point per outing — how his velocity, movement, and pitch mix have moved across the season, with league context for scale. Each pitch keeps the same color in every chart. His changeup and curveball aren't in these charts — too few of each were tracked this season.
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
Better vs RHB than vs LHB by 0.045 EB/PA allowed (modeled).
50% probable range: +0.037 to +0.053
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.486 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.466 to 0.505, based on 111 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.599 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.455 EB/PA.
Raw vs LHB rate (0.599) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.441 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.421 to 0.461, based on 86 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.335 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.438 EB/PA.
Raw vs RHB rate (0.335) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.
About the typical split for a righty arm (median 0.043). Against lefty bats he allows more than the league median — a genuine platoon vulnerability.
How to read this chart
- Tap or hover any mark for its number, or tab to a row for all of them.
- His raw rate is the unshrunk number against that side — small samples make it noisy, which is why the simulator pulls his estimate toward a more trustworthy value.
- “Middle half of the league” is the 25th–75th percentile of all pitchers against that side.
- These are bases allowed, so lower is better. Weighted by how often he faces each side, the two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed — not the xEB/PA headline at the top of the page, which folds in strikeouts and walks differently.
- Shrunk splits beat raw splits on held-out seasons, most decisively at low batters-faced counts (relievers especially), and converge with the raw numbers as exposure builds.
Contact allowed
Batters go to the pull side off him most often, and that's where the hardest contact comes from.
Pull and oppo are relative to each batter's stance, so this pools all the hitters he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Luck check
Escaped damage 3 times — crushed balls the simulator scores as near-certain hits that died in gloves behind him.
Burned 6 times — balls with a hit probability under 20% that found grass anyway.
How to read this chart
Earned vs. actual
Batters have been credited about 6 fewer bases than their contact off Blade Tidwell earned — his results have run lucky so far.
over 134 balls in play · walks and strikeouts excluded on both sides
How to read this chart
ERA 4.82 · WHIP 1.29 · BABIP against 0.266 (Lg median 0.287)
Best games
Best games
His best outings this season by bases saved vs a replacement arm.
- vs Red SoxAug 22, 2026
21 BF · 7 K, 2 BB, 3 H, 1 HBP
- Bases allowed
- 3.9
- Above replacement
- +7.2
- vs AstrosAug 10, 2026
22 BF · 6 K, 1 BB, 4 H
- Bases allowed
- 7.6
- Above replacement
- +4.1
- vs RangersAug 4, 2026
22 BF · 3 K, 1 BB, 6 H
- Bases allowed
- 7.7
- Above replacement
- +4.0
- vs MetsApr 2, 2026score only
9 BF · 2 K, 2 H
- Bases allowed
- 2.9
- Above replacement
- +1.8
- vs DodgersApr 23, 2026score only
8 BF · 2 K, 1 BB, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 2.5
- Above replacement
- +1.6
Trends
Multi-season trends · Blade Tidwell
HR allowed% down, BB% down, K% up, Barrel% against up, Hard-hit% against up, GB% against up, FB% against up, Pull% against down vs last season
Actual rates — what happened on the field, season by season.