Sam Aldegheri
2026Grade
Below league average across the board.
Aldegheri is getting hit harder than most pitchers
The simulator expects 0.482 bases allowed per batter faced against him — better than 13th percentile of qualified pitchers. The soft spot is Strikeouts (10th percentile).
151 batters faced · data through 2026-08-22.
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Plays like…
Same archetype, nearest by rate — pick one to see him side by side with Sam Aldegheri.
Pitcher type
Pitcher type
Where he sits among qualified pitchers on the two skills that separate styles.
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| Sam Aldegheri | League median | Percentile | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bases per ball in play(lower = better) | .526 | .528 | 13th |
| Walk rate(lower = better) | 11% | 9% | 17th |
| Strikeout rate(higher = better) | 18% | 22% | 10th |
100th percentile = best in MLB.
Arsenal
Sam Aldegheri leans on his four-seam fastball (47% of pitches). His best pitch has been the changeup, saving 0.3 bases per 100 thrown vs average.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
allowed 75 bases vs a replacement arm's 84 over the same batters faced
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
4.9 bases cost vs league average, across 536 pitches — 0.9 per 100.
His curveball and slider aren't in the charts below — too few of each were tracked this season.
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Mix by batter side
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Sam Aldegheri's pitch movement, 2026
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By appearance
One point per outing — how his velocity, movement, and pitch mix have moved across the season, with league context for scale. Each pitch keeps the same color in every chart. His curveball and slider aren't in these charts — too few of each were tracked this season.
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
Better vs LHB than vs RHB by 0.037 EB/PA allowed (modeled).
50% probable range: +0.029 to +0.047
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.458 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.436 to 0.481, based on 41 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.633 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.454 EB/PA.
Raw vs LHB rate (0.633) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.495 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.472 to 0.516, based on 111 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.454 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.440 EB/PA.
About the typical split for a lefty arm (median 0.039). Against righty bats he allows more than the league median — a genuine platoon vulnerability.
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- Tap or hover any mark for its number, or tab to a row for all of them.
- His raw rate is the unshrunk number against that side — small samples make it noisy, which is why the model pulls his estimate toward a more trustworthy value.
- “Middle half of the league” is the 25th–75th percentile of all pitchers against that side.
- These are bases allowed, so lower is better. Weighted by how often he faces each side, the two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed — not the xEB/PA headline at the top of the page, which folds in strikeouts and walks differently.
- Shrunk splits beat raw splits on held-out seasons, most decisively at low batters-faced counts (relievers especially), and converge with the raw numbers as exposure builds.
Contact allowed
Batters go up the middle off him most often, but the hardest contact goes to the pull side.
Pull and oppo are relative to each batter's stance, so this pools all the hitters he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Luck check
Escaped damage 2 times — crushed balls the simulator scores as near-certain hits that died in gloves behind him.
Burned 2 times — balls with a hit probability under 20% that found grass anyway.
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Earned vs. actual
Batters have been credited about 6 fewer bases than their contact off Sam Aldegheri earned — his results have run fortunate so far.
over 111 balls in play · walks and strikeouts excluded on both sides
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ERA 5.08 · WHIP 1.43 · BABIP against 0.245 (Lg median 0.286)
Times through order
Best games
Best games
His best outings this season by bases saved vs a replacement arm.
- vs RaysJun 12, 2026
21 BF · 4 K, 3 BB, 3 H
- Bases allowed
- 7.5
- Above replacement
- +4.2
- vs RockiesJun 2, 2026
22 BF · 5 K, 2 BB, 4 H
- Bases allowed
- 8.4
- Above replacement
- +3.8
- vs AthleticsJun 28, 2026
21 BF · 4 K, 1 BB, 5 H
- Bases allowed
- 8.8
- Above replacement
- +2.9
- vs AstrosJun 8, 2026
3 BF · 1 K, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 0.1
- Above replacement
- +1.5
- vs White SoxMay 5, 2026
18 BF · 0 K, 2 BB, 4 H
- Bases allowed
- 9.3
- Above replacement
- +0.7
Trends
Multi-season trends · Sam Aldegheri
HR allowed% down, BB% down, K% down vs last season
Actual rates — what happened on the field, season by season.