Shota Imanaga
2026Grade
Misses bats in bunches; lives with the walks.
Imanaga sits right around league average
The simulator expects 0.441 bases allowed per batter faced against him — better than 68th percentile of qualified pitchers. His standout tool is Command (95th percentile). The soft spot is HR Suppression (6th percentile).
578 batters faced · data through 2026-08-22.
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Plays like…
Same archetype, nearest by rate — pick one to see him side by side with Shota Imanaga.
Pitcher type
Pitcher type
Where he sits among qualified pitchers on the two skills that separate styles.
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| Shota Imanaga | League median | Percentile | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bases per ball in play(lower = better) | .554 | .528 | 68th |
| Walk rate(lower = better) | 6% | 9% | 95th |
| Strikeout rate(higher = better) | 24% | 22% | 70th |
100th percentile = best in MLB.
Arsenal
Shota Imanaga mixes his four-seam fastball (41%) and splitter (33%). His best pitch has been the splitter, saving 2.1 bases per 100 thrown vs average.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
allowed 257 bases vs a replacement arm's 322 over the same batters faced
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
1.7 bases saved vs league average, across 2,150 pitches — 0.1 per 100.
Rarely used: curveball, slider (5%)
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Mix by batter side
Compared with the league, his sweeper tilts 17 points more toward lefties.
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Shota Imanaga's pitch movement, 2026
His Splitter and Sweeper have moved 2+ inches from their early-season shapes.
Compared with his own earlier outings this season, not with other pitchers — and after taking out the drift every pitch in the league shows through midsummer.
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By appearance
One point per outing — how his velocity, movement, and pitch mix have moved across the season, with league context for scale. Each pitch keeps the same color in every chart.
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
Better vs LHB than vs RHB by 0.037 EB/PA allowed (modeled).
50% probable range: +0.027 to +0.045
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.426 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.409 to 0.443, based on 162 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.473 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.454 EB/PA.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.463 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.447 to 0.479, based on 418 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.437 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.440 EB/PA.
About the typical split for a lefty arm (median 0.039). Against righty bats he allows more than the league median — a genuine platoon vulnerability.
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- Tap or hover any mark for its number, or tab to a row for all of them.
- His raw rate is the unshrunk number against that side — small samples make it noisy, which is why the model pulls his estimate toward a more trustworthy value.
- “Middle half of the league” is the 25th–75th percentile of all pitchers against that side.
- These are bases allowed, so lower is better. Weighted by how often he faces each side, the two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed — not the xEB/PA headline at the top of the page, which folds in strikeouts and walks differently.
- Shrunk splits beat raw splits on held-out seasons, most decisively at low batters-faced counts (relievers especially), and converge with the raw numbers as exposure builds.
Contact allowed
Batters go to the pull side off him most often, and that's where the hardest contact comes from.
Pull and oppo are relative to each batter's stance, so this pools all the hitters he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Luck check
Escaped damage 3 times — crushed balls the simulator scores as near-certain hits that died in gloves behind him.
Burned 10 times — balls with a hit probability under 20% that found grass anyway.
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Earned vs. actual
Batters have been credited about 9 more bases than their contact off Shota Imanaga earned — his results have run unlucky so far.
over 401 balls in play · walks and strikeouts excluded on both sides
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ERA 3.77 · WHIP 1.09 · BABIP against 0.255 (Lg median 0.286)
Times through order
Best games
Best games
His best outings this season by bases saved vs a replacement arm.
- vs BravesMay 13, 2026
24 BF · 6 K, 5 H, 1 HR
- Bases allowed
- 5.1
- Above replacement
- +8.3
- vs PhilliesApr 21, 2026
26 BF · 1 K, 1 BB, 3 H, 1 HR
- Bases allowed
- 7.1
- Above replacement
- +7.4
- vs PiratesJul 25, 2026
23 BF · 4 K, 1 BB, 4 H
- Bases allowed
- 6.4
- Above replacement
- +6.4
- vs RockiesJun 10, 2026
19 BF · 7 K, 2 BB, 2 H
- Bases allowed
- 4.9
- Above replacement
- +5.7
- vs PiratesApr 10, 2026
19 BF · 9 K, 1 BB
- Bases allowed
- 4.9
- Above replacement
- +5.6
Trends
Multi-season trends · Shota Imanaga
BB% up, K% up, Barrel% against down, Hard-hit% against down, GB% against up, FB% against down vs last season
Actual rates — what happened on the field, season by season.