Victor Mederos
2026Grade
Rarely walks anyone and lets the defense work.
Mederos sits right around league average
The simulator expects 0.442 bases allowed per batter faced against him — better than 68th percentile of qualified pitchers. His standout tool is HR Suppression (88th percentile). The soft spot is Quiet Contact (27th percentile). Short relief stints inflate strikeout rates a touch, so read the Strikeouts spoke with that in mind.
97 batters faced · data through 2026-08-23.
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Plays like…
Same archetype, nearest by rate — the pitchers whose profile looks most like this one.
Pitcher type
Pitcher type
Where he sits among qualified pitchers on the two skills that separate styles.
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| Victor Mederos | League median | Percentile | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bases per ball in play(lower = better) | .408 | .527 | 68th |
| Walk rate(lower = better) | 8% | 9% | 57th |
| Strikeout rate(higher = better) | 22% | 22% | 44th |
100th percentile = best in MLB.
Arsenal
Victor Mederos leans on his cutter (50% of pitches). His best pitch has been the four-seam fastball, saving 5.6 bases per 100 thrown vs average.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
allowed 35 bases vs a replacement arm's 50 over the same batters faced
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
9.7 bases saved vs league average, across 331 pitches — 2.9 per 100.
His changeup and sweeper aren't in the charts below — too few of each were tracked this season.
Rarely used: slider (1%)
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Mix by batter side
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Victor Mederos's pitch movement, 2026
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By appearance
One point per outing — how his velocity, movement, and pitch mix have moved across the season, with league context for scale. Each pitch keeps the same color in every chart. His changeup and sweeper aren't in these charts — too few of each were tracked this season.
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
Better vs RHB than vs LHB by 0.040 EB/PA allowed (modeled).
50% probable range: +0.032 to +0.048
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.474 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.451 to 0.495, based on 44 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.392 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.459 EB/PA.
Raw vs LHB rate (0.392) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.434 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.413 to 0.457, based on 53 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.352 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.441 EB/PA.
Raw vs RHB rate (0.352) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.
About the typical split for a righty arm (median 0.040). Against lefty bats he allows more than the league median — a genuine platoon vulnerability.
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- Tap or hover any mark for its number, or tab to a row for all of them.
- His raw rate is the unshrunk number against that side — small samples make it noisy, which is why the model pulls his estimate toward a more trustworthy value.
- “Middle half of the league” is the 25th–75th percentile of all pitchers against that side.
- These are bases allowed, so lower is better. Weighted by how often he faces each side, the two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed — not the xEB/PA headline at the top of the page, which folds in strikeouts and walks differently.
- Shrunk splits beat raw splits on held-out seasons, most decisively at low batters-faced counts (relievers especially), and converge with the raw numbers as exposure builds.
Contact allowed
Batters go up the middle off him most often, but the hardest contact goes to the pull side.
Pull and oppo are relative to each batter's stance, so this pools all the hitters he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Luck check
Burned once — a ball with a hit probability under 20% that found grass anyway.
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Earned vs. actual
Results have matched the contact quality — batters have been credited about what they earned off Victor Mederos.
over 66 balls in play · walks and strikeouts excluded on both sides
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ERA 3.52 · WHIP 1.13 · BABIP against 0.277 (Lg median 0.286)
Best games
Best games
His best outings this season by bases saved vs a replacement arm.
- vs OriolesJul 25, 2026
8 BF · 3 K, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 1.1
- Above replacement
- +3.0
- vs CardinalsJul 10, 2026
6 BF · 3 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.5
- Above replacement
- +2.6
- vs MarlinsAug 6, 2026
7 BF · 3 K, 1 BB
- Bases allowed
- 1.2
- Above replacement
- +2.4
- vs RangersJul 17, 2026
9 BF · 1 K, 3 H
- Bases allowed
- 2.7
- Above replacement
- +1.9
- vs D-backsAug 15, 2026
5 BF · 2 K, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 0.8
- Above replacement
- +1.7
Trends
Multi-season trends · Victor Mederos
xEB/PA down, HR allowed% down, BB% down, K% up, Barrel% against down, Pull% against down vs last season
Actual rates — what happened on the field, season by season.