Victor Mederos
2026Grade
Misses bats in bunches; lives with the walks.
Mederos sits right around league average
The simulator expects him to allow 0.447 bases per batter faced, better than 62% of qualified pitchers. His best skill is limiting home runs (97th percentile). Short relief outings push strikeout rates up a little, so read his K% spoke with that in mind.
His grade rests on 148 batters faced, with data through 2026-09-27.
How to read this chart
Plays like…
Each of these pitchers shares his archetype and sits closest to him in xEB/PA. Pick one to see him side by side with Victor Mederos.
Pitcher type
Pitcher type
He lands in the “Misses bats, but gets hit hard” corner of the map.
League best:K% − BB% Jacob Misiorowski (26.8%)Hard-hit% allowed Blake Snell (29.0%)
How to read this chart
| Victor Mederos | League median | Percentile | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bases per ball in play(lower = better) | .373 | .527 | — |
| Walk rate(lower = better) | 10% | 9% | 35th |
| Strikeout rate(higher = better) | 23% | 22% | 51st |
A higher percentile is better, and the 99th is the top of the league.
Arsenal
Victor Mederos leans on his cutter (46% of pitches). His best pitch has been the four-seam fastball, saving 4.3 bases per 100 thrown against league average.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
He allowed about 50 estimated bases, against a replacement arm's 77 over the same batters faced.
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
He saved 14.0 bases against league average across 483 pitches, or 2.9 per 100 pitches.
His changeup, splitter, and sweeper aren't in the charts below, because too few of each were tracked this season.
He rarely throws his slider (1% of his pitches).
How to read this chart
Mix by batter side
How to read this chart
Victor Mederos's pitch movement, 2026
His Sinker has moved 2+ inches from its early-season shape.
The verdict above compares each pitch with his own early-season outings in 2026, not with other pitchers, after taking out the league-wide drift in break.
How to read this chart
By appearance
These charts follow his velocity, movement and pitch mix one outing at a time, and each pitch keeps the same color in every chart. The velocity and movement charts also shade the middle of the league for scale. His changeup, splitter, and sweeper aren't in these charts, because too few of each were tracked this season.
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
He handles righty bats better than lefty bats, by 0.042 EB/PA allowed.
50% probable range: +0.034 to +0.050
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.454 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.433 to 0.475, based on 72 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.388 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.451 EB/PA.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.412 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.392 to 0.433, based on 76 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.341 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.435 EB/PA.
His raw rate vs RHB (0.341) is off this scale. Small samples can push a raw rate this far, which is why the dot, the shrunk estimate, is the number to trust.
His split is about typical for a righty arm (median 0.042).
How to read this chart
- Each dot is his estimate against that side, with its 50% probable range as the bar. These are bases allowed, so lower is better.
- The diamond is his raw rate, which small samples make noisy, so the simulator pulls the dot toward a more trustworthy value.
- The dashed tick is the league median, and the shaded strip is the middle half of pitchers with 100 or more batters faced.
- The two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed, not the xEB/PA headline.
- Tap or hover a mark for its number. LHB and RHB are left- and right-handed batters. More on the About page
Contact allowed
Batters go up the middle off him most often, but they do the most damage to the pull side.
Pull side and opposite field depend on which side each batter hits from, so this pools every hitter he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Luck check
One hit off him had less than a 20% chance of being a hit.
How to read this chart
Deserved vs. actual
Batters have been credited with about the bases their contact off Victor Mederos deserved.
Both bars count 96 balls in play, with walks and strikeouts left out.
How to read this chart
ERA 3.41 · WHIP 1.19 · BABIP against 0.274 (Lg median 0.286)
Best games
Best games
These are his best outings this season, ranked by bases saved against a replacement arm.
- vs OriolesJul 25, 2026
8 BF · 3 K, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 1.1
- Above replacement
- +3.1
- vs CardinalsJul 10, 2026
6 BF · 3 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.5
- Above replacement
- +2.6
- vs MarlinsAug 6, 2026
7 BF · 3 K, 1 BB
- Bases allowed
- 1.2
- Above replacement
- +2.4
- vs RangersJul 17, 2026
9 BF · 1 K, 3 H
- Bases allowed
- 2.7
- Above replacement
- +2.0
- vs D-backsAug 15, 2026
5 BF · 2 K, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 0.8
- Above replacement
- +1.8
Trends
Multi-season trends · Victor Mederos
Compared with last season, his xEB/PA is down, his HR allowed% is down, his BB% is down, his K% is up, his Barrel% against is down, his Hard-hit% against is down and his Pull% against is down.
Actual rates show what happened on the field, season by season.