Alex Vesia
2026Grade
A blend of skills without one defining trait.
Vesia sits right around league average
The simulator expects 0.444 bases allowed per batter faced against him — better than 65th percentile of qualified pitchers. His standout tool is Strikeouts (93rd percentile). The soft spot is Command (3rd percentile). Short relief stints inflate strikeout rates a touch, so read the Strikeouts spoke with that in mind.
190 batters faced · data through 2026-08-22.
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Plays like…
Same archetype, nearest by rate — pick one to see him side by side with Alex Vesia.
Pitcher type
Pitcher type
Where he sits among qualified pitchers on the two skills that separate styles.
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| Alex Vesia | League median | Percentile | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bases per ball in play(lower = better) | .443 | .528 | 65th |
| Walk rate(lower = better) | 14% | 9% | 3rd |
| Strikeout rate(higher = better) | 26% | 22% | 93rd |
100th percentile = best in MLB.
Arsenal
Alex Vesia leans on his four-seam fastball (54% of pitches). His best pitch has been the slider, saving 3.0 bases per 100 thrown vs average.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
allowed 73 bases vs a replacement arm's 98 over the same batters faced
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
11.8 bases saved vs league average, across 805 pitches — 1.5 per 100.
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Mix by batter side
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Alex Vesia's pitch movement, 2026
None of his pitches have moved from their early-season shape.
Compared with his own earlier outings this season, not with other pitchers — and after taking out the drift every pitch in the league shows through midsummer.
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By appearance
One point per outing — how his velocity, movement, and pitch mix have moved across the season, with league context for scale. Each pitch keeps the same color in every chart.
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
Better vs LHB than vs RHB by 0.038 EB/PA allowed (modeled).
50% probable range: +0.028 to +0.047
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.381 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.360 to 0.402, based on 81 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.425 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.454 EB/PA.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.419 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.400 to 0.441, based on 109 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.380 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.440 EB/PA.
About the typical split for a lefty arm (median 0.039). He allows less than the league median against both sides, so his weaker side is still a strength — not a hole.
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- Tap or hover any mark for its number, or tab to a row for all of them.
- His raw rate is the unshrunk number against that side — small samples make it noisy, which is why the model pulls his estimate toward a more trustworthy value.
- “Middle half of the league” is the 25th–75th percentile of all pitchers against that side.
- These are bases allowed, so lower is better. Weighted by how often he faces each side, the two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed — not the xEB/PA headline at the top of the page, which folds in strikeouts and walks differently.
- Shrunk splits beat raw splits on held-out seasons, most decisively at low batters-faced counts (relievers especially), and converge with the raw numbers as exposure builds.
Contact allowed
Batters go to the pull side off him most often, and that's where the hardest contact comes from.
Pull and oppo are relative to each batter's stance, so this pools all the hitters he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Luck check
Escaped damage 2 times — crushed balls the simulator scores as near-certain hits that died in gloves behind him.
Burned once — a ball with a hit probability under 20% that found grass anyway.
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Earned vs. actual
Batters have been credited about 5 fewer bases than their contact off Alex Vesia earned — his results have run fortunate so far.
over 104 balls in play · walks and strikeouts excluded on both sides
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ERA 3.25 · WHIP 1.24 · BABIP against 0.218 (Lg median 0.286)
Best games
Best games
His best outings this season by bases saved vs a replacement arm.
- vs YankeesJul 19, 2026
3 BF · 3 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.0
- Above replacement
- +1.5
- vs MetsApr 14, 2026
3 BF · 3 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.0
- Above replacement
- +1.5
- vs AngelsMay 17, 2026
3 BF · 2 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.0
- Above replacement
- +1.5
- vs GuardiansMar 31, 2026
3 BF · 1 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.3
- Above replacement
- +1.2
- vs D-backsMar 27, 2026
4 BF · 0 K, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 0.8
- Above replacement
- +1.2
Trends
Multi-season trends · Alex Vesia
HR allowed% down, BB% up, Barrel% against down, FB% against up, Pull% against down vs last season
Actual rates — what happened on the field, season by season.