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One moment while the latest numbers come in.
Not enough modeled data yet to judge his run prevention with confidence.
Shane Smith mixes his four-seam fastball (33%) and curveball (24%). His best pitch has been the curveball, saving 1.7 bases per 100 thrown vs average.
What they throw, how hard, and what misses bats — from pitch tracking, regular season only.
allowed 21 bases vs a replacement arm's 29 over the same batters faced
How the mix shifts against lefty and righty bats. Overall results by batter side are under Platoon splits.
One point per outing — how his velocity, movement, and pitch mix have moved across the season, with league context for scale. Each pitch keeps the same color in every chart.
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.460 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.436 to 0.482, based on 26 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.420 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.422 EB/PA.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.419 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.396 to 0.442, based on 23 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.522 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.406 EB/PA.
Raw vs RHB rate (0.522) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.
About the typical split for a righty arm (median 0.041). He allows more than the league median against both sides.
Batters go up the middle off him most often, but the hardest contact goes to the opposite field.
Pull and oppo are relative to each batter's stance, so this pools all the hitters he faced.
Burned once — a ball with a hit probability under 20% that found grass anyway.
His best outings this season by bases saved vs a replacement arm.
HR allowed% down, BB% up vs last season
Actual rates — what happened on the field, season by season.
