Christian Scott
2026Grade
A blend of skills without one defining trait.
Scott sits right around league average
The simulator expects 0.450 bases allowed per batter faced against him — better than 54th percentile of qualified pitchers. His standout tool is Strikeouts (88th percentile).
390 batters faced · data through 2026-08-22.
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Plays like…
Same archetype, nearest by rate — pick one to see him side by side with Christian Scott.
Pitcher type
Pitcher type
Where he sits among qualified pitchers on the two skills that separate styles.
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| Christian Scott | League median | Percentile | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bases per ball in play(lower = better) | .561 | .528 | 54th |
| Walk rate(lower = better) | 10% | 9% | 34th |
| Strikeout rate(higher = better) | 27% | 22% | 88th |
100th percentile = best in MLB.
Arsenal
Christian Scott leans on his four-seam fastball (48% of pitches). His best pitch has been the cutter, saving 2.6 bases per 100 thrown vs average.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
allowed 169 bases vs a replacement arm's 217 over the same batters faced
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
1.1 bases saved vs league average, across 1,597 pitches — 0.1 per 100.
Rarely used: sinker, slider (2%)
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Mix by batter side
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Christian Scott's pitch movement, 2026
His Curveball and Splitter have moved 2+ inches from their early-season shapes.
Compared with his own earlier outings this season, not with other pitchers — and after taking out the drift every pitch in the league shows through midsummer.
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By appearance
One point per outing — how his velocity, movement, and pitch mix have moved across the season, with league context for scale. Each pitch keeps the same color in every chart.
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
Better vs RHB than vs LHB by 0.039 EB/PA allowed (modeled).
50% probable range: +0.030 to +0.047
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.446 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.428 to 0.464, based on 247 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.454 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.454 EB/PA.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.408 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.389 to 0.426, based on 143 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.457 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.440 EB/PA.
About the typical split for a righty arm (median 0.040). He allows less than the league median against both sides, so his weaker side is still a strength — not a hole.
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- Tap or hover any mark for its number, or tab to a row for all of them.
- His raw rate is the unshrunk number against that side — small samples make it noisy, which is why the model pulls his estimate toward a more trustworthy value.
- “Middle half of the league” is the 25th–75th percentile of all pitchers against that side.
- These are bases allowed, so lower is better. Weighted by how often he faces each side, the two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed — not the xEB/PA headline at the top of the page, which folds in strikeouts and walks differently.
- Shrunk splits beat raw splits on held-out seasons, most decisively at low batters-faced counts (relievers especially), and converge with the raw numbers as exposure builds.
Contact allowed
Batters go to the pull side off him most often, and that's where the hardest contact comes from.
Pull and oppo are relative to each batter's stance, so this pools all the hitters he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Luck check
Escaped damage 2 times — crushed balls the simulator scores as near-certain hits that died in gloves behind him.
Burned 7 times — balls with a hit probability under 20% that found grass anyway.
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Earned vs. actual
Results have matched the contact quality — batters have been credited about what they earned off Christian Scott.
over 231 balls in play · walks and strikeouts excluded on both sides
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ERA 3.73 · WHIP 1.32 · BABIP against 0.312 (Lg median 0.286)
Times through order
Best games
Best games
His best outings this season by bases saved vs a replacement arm.
- vs BravesJul 29, 2026
24 BF · 7 K, 1 BB, 5 H
- Bases allowed
- 6.3
- Above replacement
- +7.1
- vs RoyalsJul 8, 2026
19 BF · 5 K, 1 BB, 3 H
- Bases allowed
- 5.3
- Above replacement
- +5.3
- vs PadresJun 5, 2026
21 BF · 3 K, 2 BB, 3 H
- Bases allowed
- 6.8
- Above replacement
- +4.9
- vs PhilliesJul 16, 2026
20 BF · 7 K, 3 H
- Bases allowed
- 6.3
- Above replacement
- +4.8
- vs MarlinsMay 24, 2026
24 BF · 5 K, 2 BB, 4 H, 1 HBP
- Bases allowed
- 9.0
- Above replacement
- +4.3
Trends
Multi-season trends · Christian Scott
HR allowed% down, BB% up, K% up, Barrel% against down vs his previous season
Actual rates — what happened on the field, season by season.