Ryan Weiss
2026Grade
Below league average across the board.
Weiss is getting hit harder than most pitchers
The simulator expects 0.493 bases allowed per batter faced against him — better than 5th percentile of qualified pitchers. The soft spot is HR Suppression (1st percentile).
131 batters faced · data through 2026-08-22.
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Plays like…
Same archetype, nearest by rate — pick one to see him side by side with Ryan Weiss.
Pitcher type
Pitcher type
Where he sits among qualified pitchers on the two skills that separate styles.
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| Ryan Weiss | League median | Percentile | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bases per ball in play(lower = better) | .738 | .528 | 5th |
| Walk rate(lower = better) | 14% | 9% | 2nd |
| Strikeout rate(higher = better) | 22% | 22% | 54th |
100th percentile = best in MLB.
Arsenal
Ryan Weiss mixes his four-seam fastball (37%) and sweeper (32%). His best pitch has been the sinker, saving 5.8 bases per 100 thrown vs average.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
allowed 78 bases vs a replacement arm's 73 over the same batters faced
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
19.9 bases cost vs league average, across 512 pitches — 3.9 per 100.
His curveball isn't in the charts below — only 18 of them were tracked with velocity and movement data this season.
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Mix by batter side
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Ryan Weiss's pitch movement, 2026
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By appearance
One point per outing — how his velocity, movement, and pitch mix have moved across the season, with league context for scale. Each pitch keeps the same color in every chart. His curveball isn't in these charts — only 18 of them were tracked with velocity and movement data this season.
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
Better vs RHB than vs LHB by 0.039 EB/PA allowed (modeled).
50% probable range: +0.031 to +0.048
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.518 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.497 to 0.541, based on 80 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.596 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.454 EB/PA.
Raw vs LHB rate (0.596) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.479 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.457 to 0.501, based on 51 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.630 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.440 EB/PA.
Raw vs RHB rate (0.630) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.
About the typical split for a righty arm (median 0.040). He allows more than the league median against both sides.
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- Tap or hover any mark for its number, or tab to a row for all of them.
- His raw rate is the unshrunk number against that side — small samples make it noisy, which is why the model pulls his estimate toward a more trustworthy value.
- “Middle half of the league” is the 25th–75th percentile of all pitchers against that side.
- These are bases allowed, so lower is better. Weighted by how often he faces each side, the two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed — not the xEB/PA headline at the top of the page, which folds in strikeouts and walks differently.
- Shrunk splits beat raw splits on held-out seasons, most decisively at low batters-faced counts (relievers especially), and converge with the raw numbers as exposure builds.
Contact allowed
Batters go to the pull side off him most often, and that's where the hardest contact comes from.
Pull and oppo are relative to each batter's stance, so this pools all the hitters he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Luck check
Escaped damage 2 times — crushed balls the simulator scores as near-certain hits that died in gloves behind him.
Burned 4 times — balls with a hit probability under 20% that found grass anyway.
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Earned vs. actual
Results have matched the contact quality — batters have been credited about what they earned off Ryan Weiss.
over 81 balls in play · walks and strikeouts excluded on both sides
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ERA 7.62 · WHIP 2.12 · BABIP against 0.370 (Lg median 0.286)
Best games
Best games
His best outings this season by bases saved vs a replacement arm.
- vs Red SoxMar 30, 2026
7 BF · 3 K, 1 BB
- Bases allowed
- 1.3
- Above replacement
- +2.3
- vs OriolesApr 28, 2026
15 BF · 3 K, 2 BB, 2 H, 1 HR
- Bases allowed
- 7.5
- Above replacement
- +0.9
- vs AthleticsApr 3, 2026
11 BF · 2 K, 3 H
- Bases allowed
- 5.7
- Above replacement
- -0.0
- vs RockiesApr 6, 2026
19 BF · 4 K, 2 BB, 8 H, 1 HR
- Bases allowed
- 10.7
- Above replacement
- -0.2
- vs GuardiansApr 21, 2026
19 BF · 4 K, 4 BB, 5 H, 1 HR
- Bases allowed
- 11.3
- Above replacement
- -0.7