Ryan Weiss

2026

Astros· RHP · throws R· 26.0 IP· 7.62 ERA· 2.12 WHIP· 131 BF

Grade

F2nd percentile run prevention

StarterStill Searching

Below league average across the board.

Weiss is getting hit harder than most pitchers

The simulator expects 0.568 bases allowed per batter faced against him — better than 2nd percentile of qualified pitchers. The soft spot is HR Suppression (2nd percentile).

Each spoke is a skill estimate adjusted for sample size (not raw season stats), so farther out = better.
Percentiles vs. 396 qualified pitchers — 100+ batters faced, starters and relievers pooled.
131 batters faced · data through 2026-07-09.

Plays like…

Same archetype, nearest by rate — the pitchers whose profile looks most like this one.

Justin LawrencePirates

Phil MatonCubs

Pierce JohnsonReds

Gus VarlandNationals

What drives it

Every plate appearance ends one of three ways: a strikeout (0 bases), a walk (1 base), or a ball in play worth its estimated bases.
The bar splits his runs prevented into those pieces, versus the league.
Fewer bases allowed is better. In the table, 100th percentile = best in MLB.

Ball-in-play basesWalk bases

Bases per batter faced

.454

.141

Ryan Weiss

.368

.088

League average

	Ryan Weiss	League	Percentile
Bases per ball in play(fewer = better)	.743	.536	2nd
Walk rate(fewer = better)	14%	9%	7th
Strikeout rate(higher = better)	23%	23%	52nd

Contact allowed

Batters go to the pull side off him most often, and that's where the hardest contact comes from.

Pull and oppo are relative to each batter's stance, so this pools all the hitters he faced.

Batted balls allowed

Where every ball hit off Ryan Weiss landed this season.
Dots are colored by estimated bases (EB) — pale slate (easy out) to dark teal (home-run territory).
Filled dots are hits; hollow rings are outs — a dark ring in the outfield is a crushed ball his defense ran down.
Hover a dot or a row to link the two; click to watch on Baseball Savant.

hit · out

EBlowhigh

vs Hunter GoodmanHome run

EV 106 mph · LA 32° · EB 3.6

04/16 vs Rockies

vs Pete AlonsoHome run

EV 104 mph · LA 26° · EB 3.6

04/28 vs Orioles

vs Randy ArozarenaHome run

EV 108 mph · LA 34° · EB 3.6

04/10 vs Mariners

vs Angel MartínezHome run

EV 102 mph · LA 29° · EB 3.5

04/21 vs Guardians

vs Troy JohnstonHome run

EV 100 mph · LA 34° · EB 3.5

04/06 vs Rockies

Luck check

Escaped damage 2 times — crushed balls the simulator scores as near-certain hits that died in gloves behind him.

vs Brent RookerOutRobbed

EV 110 mph · LA 18° · EB 2.0

04/03 vs Athletics

Burned 3 times — balls with a hit probability under 20% that found grass anyway.

vs Alex FreelandSingleCheap hit

EV 76 mph · LA 4° · EB 0.1 · xBA .070

05/04 vs Dodgers

Contact & results against

2026 · 80 balls in play

What kind of contact he gives up, and what it turns into.
Top bar: the contact he allows (grounders, liners, fly balls, pop-ups). The thin bar below is league average.
Below, the rates hitters put up against him — each dot is his mark, the dashed line league median, the teal tick league’s best. Further right is better.
Hover or tab any bar or dot for exact values. Starred rows (*) are approximate.

Ground ballsLine drivesFly ballsPop-ups

GB 39%

LD 25%

FB 28%

League average

BABIP against

.361

lg .287best .129

AVG against*

.309

lg .238best .103

OBP against*

.415

lg .317best .153

SLG against*

.564

lg .386best .133

OPS against*

.979

lg .706best .337

WHIP

2.12

lg 1.30best 0.62

ERA

7.62

lg 3.92best 0.56

* Approximate: sacrifice flies and bunts aren't distinguishable in our data, so every ball in play counts as an at-bat. Slightly off official figures.