José A. Ferrer
2026Grade
Rarely walks anyone and lets the defense work.
Ferrer sits right around league average
The simulator expects 0.440 bases allowed per batter faced against him — better than 68th percentile of qualified pitchers. His standout tool is Command (88th percentile). The soft spot is Strikeouts (26th percentile). Short relief stints inflate strikeout rates a touch, so read the Strikeouts spoke with that in mind.
231 batters faced · data through 2026-08-22.
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Plays like…
Same archetype, nearest by rate — pick one to see him side by side with José A. Ferrer.
Pitcher type
Pitcher type
Where he sits among qualified pitchers on the two skills that separate styles.
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| José A. Ferrer | League median | Percentile | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bases per ball in play(lower = better) | .448 | .528 | 68th |
| Walk rate(lower = better) | 7% | 9% | 88th |
| Strikeout rate(higher = better) | 20% | 22% | 26th |
100th percentile = best in MLB.
Arsenal
José A. Ferrer leans on his sinker (71% of pitches). His best pitch has been the sinker, saving 1.6 bases per 100 thrown vs average, and his sinker runs 4.3 mph above the league norm.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
allowed 93 bases vs a replacement arm's 119 over the same batters faced
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
11.2 bases saved vs league average, across 845 pitches — 1.3 per 100.
Rarely used: four-seam fastball (0%)
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Mix by batter side
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José A. Ferrer's pitch movement, 2026
None of his pitches have moved from their early-season shape.
Compared with his own earlier outings this season, not with other pitchers — and after taking out the drift every pitch in the league shows through midsummer.
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By appearance
One point per outing — how his velocity, movement, and pitch mix have moved across the season, with league context for scale. Each pitch keeps the same color in every chart.
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
Better vs LHB than vs RHB by 0.041 EB/PA allowed (modeled).
50% probable range: +0.032 to +0.051
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.414 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.394 to 0.434, based on 118 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.294 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.454 EB/PA.
Raw vs LHB rate (0.294) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.455 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.436 to 0.475, based on 115 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.520 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.440 EB/PA.
Raw vs RHB rate (0.520) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.
About the typical split for a lefty arm (median 0.039). Against righty bats he allows more than the league median — a genuine platoon vulnerability.
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- Tap or hover any mark for its number, or tab to a row for all of them.
- His raw rate is the unshrunk number against that side — small samples make it noisy, which is why the model pulls his estimate toward a more trustworthy value.
- “Middle half of the league” is the 25th–75th percentile of all pitchers against that side.
- These are bases allowed, so lower is better. Weighted by how often he faces each side, the two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed — not the xEB/PA headline at the top of the page, which folds in strikeouts and walks differently.
- Shrunk splits beat raw splits on held-out seasons, most decisively at low batters-faced counts (relievers especially), and converge with the raw numbers as exposure builds.
Contact allowed
Batters go up the middle off him most often, but the hardest contact goes to the pull side.
Pull and oppo are relative to each batter's stance, so this pools all the hitters he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Luck check
Escaped damage once — a crushed ball the simulator scores as a near-certain hit died in a glove behind him.
Burned 12 times — balls with a hit probability under 20% that found grass anyway.
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Earned vs. actual
Batters have been credited about 9 more bases than their contact off José A. Ferrer earned — his results have run unlucky so far.
over 173 balls in play · walks and strikeouts excluded on both sides
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ERA 3.59 · WHIP 1.33 · BABIP against 0.317 (Lg median 0.286)
Best games
Best games
His best outings this season by bases saved vs a replacement arm.
- vs CardinalsApr 25, 2026
10 BF · 1 K, 1 BB, 2 H, 1 HBP
- Bases allowed
- 2.6
- Above replacement
- +2.5
- vs White SoxMay 18, 2026
5 BF · 1 K, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 0.4
- Above replacement
- +2.2
- vs BravesMay 4, 2026
5 BF · 1 K, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 0.9
- Above replacement
- +1.7
- vs White SoxMay 20, 2026
4 BF · 3 K, 1 H, 1 HR
- Bases allowed
- 0.4
- Above replacement
- +1.7
- vs AstrosApr 11, 2026
4 BF · 1 K, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 0.5
- Above replacement
- +1.6
Trends
Multi-season trends · José A. Ferrer
HR allowed% up, BB% up, K% down, Hard-hit% against down, FB% against up, Pull% against down vs last season
Actual rates — what happened on the field, season by season.