Seth Halvorsen
2026Grade
Below league average across the board.
Halvorsen is getting hit harder than most pitchers
The simulator expects 0.492 bases allowed per batter faced against him — better than 5th percentile of qualified pitchers. The soft spot is Command (16th percentile). Short relief stints inflate strikeout rates a touch, so read the Strikeouts spoke with that in mind.
124 batters faced · data through 2026-09-11.
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Plays like…
Same archetype, nearest by rate — pick one to see him side by side with Seth Halvorsen.
Pitcher type
Pitcher type
Where he sits among qualified pitchers on the two skills that separate styles.
League best:K% − BB% Jacob Misiorowski (26.7%)Hard-hit% against Blake Snell (29.8%)
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| Seth Halvorsen | League median | Percentile | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bases per ball in play(lower = better) | .595 | .527 | 5th |
| Walk rate(lower = better) | 12% | 9% | 16th |
| Strikeout rate(higher = better) | 19% | 22% | 23rd |
100th percentile = best in MLB.
Arsenal
Seth Halvorsen leans on his four-seam fastball (62% of pitches). His best pitch has been the slider, saving 1.5 bases per 100 thrown vs average, and his four-seam fastball runs 3.8 mph above the league norm.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
allowed 66 bases vs a replacement arm's 64 over the same batters faced
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
9.1 bases cost vs league average, across 424 pitches — 2.1 per 100.
His splitter isn't in the charts below — only 38 of them were tracked with velocity and movement data this season.
Rarely used: sinker (0%)
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Mix by batter side
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Seth Halvorsen's pitch movement, 2026
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By appearance
One point per outing — how his velocity, movement, and pitch mix have moved across the season, with league context for scale. Each pitch keeps the same color in every chart. His splitter isn't in these charts — only 38 of them were tracked with velocity and movement data this season.
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
Better vs RHB than vs LHB by 0.042 EB/PA allowed (modeled).
50% probable range: +0.034 to +0.051
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.509 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.489 to 0.531, based on 51 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.575 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.455 EB/PA.
Raw vs LHB rate (0.575) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.467 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.446 to 0.488, based on 73 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.537 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.438 EB/PA.
About the typical split for a righty arm (median 0.043). He allows more than the league median against both sides.
How to read this chart
- Tap or hover any mark for its number, or tab to a row for all of them.
- His raw rate is the unshrunk number against that side — small samples make it noisy, which is why the simulator pulls his estimate toward a more trustworthy value.
- “Middle half of the league” is the 25th–75th percentile of all pitchers against that side.
- These are bases allowed, so lower is better. Weighted by how often he faces each side, the two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed — not the xEB/PA headline at the top of the page, which folds in strikeouts and walks differently.
- Shrunk splits beat raw splits on held-out seasons, most decisively at low batters-faced counts (relievers especially), and converge with the raw numbers as exposure builds.
Contact allowed
Batters go to the pull side off him most often, but the hardest contact goes up the middle.
Pull and oppo are relative to each batter's stance, so this pools all the hitters he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Luck check
Burned 3 times — balls with a hit probability under 20% that found grass anyway.
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Earned vs. actual
Results have matched the contact quality — batters have been credited about what they earned off Seth Halvorsen.
over 85 balls in play · walks and strikeouts excluded on both sides
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ERA 5.76 · WHIP 1.84 · BABIP against 0.287 (Lg median 0.287)
Best games
Best games
His best outings this season by bases saved vs a replacement arm.
- vs RedsSep 9, 2026
4 BF · 1 K, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 0.0
- Above replacement
- +2.0
- vs TigersAug 30, 2026
3 BF · 0 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.1
- Above replacement
- +1.4
- vs TwinsJun 26, 2026
4 BF · 1 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.9
- Above replacement
- +1.2
- vs D-backsMay 15, 2026score only
5 BF · 1 K, 1 BB, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 1.5
- Above replacement
- +1.0
- vs GiantsMay 29, 2026score only
6 BF · 2 K, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 2.1
- Above replacement
- +1.0
Trends
Multi-season trends · Seth Halvorsen
BB% up, K% down, Barrel% against down, GB% against down, FB% against up vs last season
Actual rates — what happened on the field, season by season.