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Nolan Hoffman

2026
Royals· RHP · throws R· 10.0 IP· 4.50 ERA· 1.40 WHIP· 42 BF

Grade

How good he's been, and at what
Dbetter than 30% of pitchers at limiting bases
RelieverMixed Profile

A blend of skills without one defining trait.

Hoffman has been below average at limiting damage

The simulator expects 0.467 bases allowed per batter faced against him — better than 30th percentile of qualified pitchers. His standout tool is HR Suppression (92nd percentile). The soft spot is Strikeouts (22nd percentile). Short relief stints inflate strikeout rates a touch, so read the Strikeouts spoke with that in mind.

42 batters faced · data through 2026-09-11.

How to read this chart
Each spoke is a skill estimate adjusted for sample size (not raw season stats), so farther out = better. Spokes are the metric itself; ↓ marks a rate where a LOWER number is better. The middle ring marks the league median and the outer ring the league best. Percentiles vs. 494 qualified pitchers — 100+ batters faced, starters and relievers pooled. He hasn't reached that bar himself, so he is measured against them rather than counted among them.

Plays like…

Same archetype, nearest by rate — the pitchers whose profile looks most like this one.

Luke MurphyAngelsConnor SeaboldRoyalsPatrick SandovalRed SoxEric OrzeTwins

Pitcher type

What kind of pitcher he is, next to the league

Arsenal

What he throws, and what it does

Pitch mix & swing-and-miss

Four-Seam Fastball
28%
93.5 mph · RHP median 95.1
—
Cutter
not charted
28%
88.5 mph · RHP median 90.2
—
Sinker
not charted
23%
93.0 mph · RHP median 94.7
—
Sweeper
not charted
13%
80.7 mph · RHP median 83.5
—
Changeup
not charted
5%
85.6 mph · RHP median 87.1
—
Curveball
not charted
3%
78.2 mph · RHP median 81.2
—

Only his four-seam fastball is in the charts below — the rest were tracked too rarely to plot.

How to read this chart
What they throw, how hard, and what misses bats — from pitch tracking, regular season only.

Platoon splits

How he fares against lefties and righties

Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)

Better vs RHB than vs LHB by 0.043 EB/PA allowed (modeled).

50% probable range: +0.034 to +0.051

vs LHB14 PA0.473

vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.473 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.450 to 0.495, based on 14 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.413 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.455 EB/PA.

vs RHB28 PA0.430

vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.430 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.408 to 0.453, based on 28 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.381 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.438 EB/PA.

Raw vs RHB rate (0.381) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.

0.3970.4240.4510.4780.505
← betterworse →
Below league medianAbove50% probable rangeHis raw rateMiddle half of the league

About the typical split for a righty arm (median 0.043). Against lefty bats he allows more than the league median — a genuine platoon vulnerability.

How to read this chart
  • Tap or hover any mark for its number, or tab to a row for all of them.
  • His raw rate is the unshrunk number against that side — small samples make it noisy, which is why the simulator pulls his estimate toward a more trustworthy value.
  • “Middle half of the league” is the 25th–75th percentile of all pitchers against that side.
  • These are bases allowed, so lower is better. Weighted by how often he faces each side, the two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed — not the xEB/PA headline at the top of the page, which folds in strikeouts and walks differently.
  • Shrunk splits beat raw splits on held-out seasons, most decisively at low batters-faced counts (relievers especially), and converge with the raw numbers as exposure builds.

Contact allowed

What hitters do when they connect

Batters go up the middle off him most often, but the hardest contact goes to the opposite field.

Pull and oppo are relative to each batter's stance, so this pools all the hitters he faced.

Batted balls allowed

Where every ball hit off Nolan Hoffman landed this season.
hit · out
EBlowhigh
vs George SpringerDouble
EV 111 mph · LA 12° · EB 1.5
09/04 vs Blue Jays
vs Myles StrawSingle
EV 98 mph · LA 13° · EB 1.0
09/06 vs Blue Jays
vs Ernie ClementSingle
EV 83 mph · LA 17° · EB 1.0
09/04 vs Blue Jays
vs Casey SchmittSingle
EV 86 mph · LA 15° · EB 1.0
04/30 vs Giants
vs Alejandro KirkOut
EV 99 mph · LA 4° · EB 0.8
09/04 vs Blue Jays

Luck check

Burned once — a ball with a hit probability under 20% that found grass anyway.

vs Drew GilbertSingleCheap hit
EV 77 mph · LA -49° · EB 0.1 · xBA .136
04/30 vs Giants
How to read this chart
Dot color is estimated bases (EB) — what the contact was worth, regardless of what the defense did with it. So a dark hollow ring in the outfield is a crushed ball his defense ran down. Tap or hover a dot or a row to link the two, and use the ▶ links to watch a play on Baseball Savant.

Best games

His biggest outings this year

Best games

His best outings this season by bases saved vs a replacement arm.