Jason Foley
2026Grade
Rarely walks anyone and lets the defense work.
Foley sits right around league average
The simulator expects 0.453 bases allowed per batter faced against him — better than 51st percentile of qualified pitchers. The soft spot is Strikeouts (25th percentile). Short relief stints inflate strikeout rates a touch, so read the Strikeouts spoke with that in mind.
62 batters faced · data through 2026-08-30.
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Plays like…
Same archetype, nearest by rate — the pitchers whose profile looks most like this one.
Pitcher type
Arsenal
Jason Foley leans on his sinker (47% of pitches). His best pitch has been the sinker, saving 2.9 bases per 100 thrown vs average.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
allowed 29 bases vs a replacement arm's 32 over the same batters faced
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
0.8 bases saved vs league average, across 164 pitches — 0.5 per 100.
His four-seam fastball and splitter aren't in the charts below — too few of each were tracked this season.
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Mix by batter side
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Jason Foley's pitch movement, 2026
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By appearance
One point per outing — how his velocity, movement, and pitch mix have moved across the season, with league context for scale. Each pitch keeps the same color in every chart. His four-seam fastball and splitter aren't in these charts — too few of each were tracked this season.
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
Better vs RHB than vs LHB by 0.041 EB/PA allowed (modeled).
50% probable range: +0.033 to +0.050
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.474 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.452 to 0.496, based on 30 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.471 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.454 EB/PA.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.433 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.411 to 0.456, based on 32 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.398 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.434 EB/PA.
Raw vs RHB rate (0.398) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.
About the typical split for a righty arm (median 0.041). Against lefty bats he allows more than the league median — a genuine platoon vulnerability.
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- Tap or hover any mark for its number, or tab to a row for all of them.
- His raw rate is the unshrunk number against that side — small samples make it noisy, which is why the model pulls his estimate toward a more trustworthy value.
- “Middle half of the league” is the 25th–75th percentile of all pitchers against that side.
- These are bases allowed, so lower is better. Weighted by how often he faces each side, the two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed — not the xEB/PA headline at the top of the page, which folds in strikeouts and walks differently.
- Shrunk splits beat raw splits on held-out seasons, most decisively at low batters-faced counts (relievers especially), and converge with the raw numbers as exposure builds.
Contact allowed
Batters go up the middle off him most often, but the hardest contact goes to the pull side.
Pull and oppo are relative to each batter's stance, so this pools all the hitters he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Luck check
Burned 3 times — balls with a hit probability under 20% that found grass anyway.
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Earned vs. actual
Results have matched the contact quality — batters have been credited about what they earned off Jason Foley.
over 51 balls in play · walks and strikeouts excluded on both sides
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ERA 4.50 · WHIP 1.50 · BABIP against 0.340 (Lg median 0.287)
Best games
Best games
His best outings this season by bases saved vs a replacement arm.
- vs RedsAug 24, 2026
4 BF · 3 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.1
- Above replacement
- +2.0
- vs Red SoxAug 21, 2026
7 BF · 1 K, 2 H
- Bases allowed
- 1.8
- Above replacement
- +1.8
- vs BravesAug 31, 2026
6 BF · 1 K, 2 H
- Bases allowed
- 1.4
- Above replacement
- +1.7
- vs RoyalsJul 20, 2026
3 BF · 0 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.1
- Above replacement
- +1.4
- vs RockiesAug 16, 2026
3 BF · 1 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.2
- Above replacement
- +1.3
Trends
Multi-season trends · Jason Foley
HR allowed% down, Barrel% against down, GB% against up, FB% against down, Pull% against down vs his previous season
Actual rates — what happened on the field, season by season.