Jason Foley
2026Grade
Rarely walks anyone and lets the defense work.
Foley has been below average at limiting bases
The simulator expects him to allow 0.463 bases per batter faced, better than 33% of qualified pitchers. His best skill is limiting home runs (72nd percentile). His weakest skill is getting strikeouts (9th percentile). Short relief outings push strikeout rates up a little, so read his K% spoke with that in mind.
His grade rests on 117 batters faced, with data through 2026-09-27.
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Plays like…
Each of these pitchers shares his archetype and sits closest to him in xEB/PA. Pick one to see him side by side with Jason Foley.
Pitcher type
Pitcher type
He lands in the “Hit hard, few strikeouts” corner of the map.
League best:K% − BB% Jacob Misiorowski (26.8%)Hard-hit% allowed Blake Snell (29.0%)
How to read this chart
| Jason Foley | League median | Percentile | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bases per ball in play(lower = better) | .444 | .527 | — |
| Walk rate(lower = better) | 10% | 9% | 51st |
| Strikeout rate(higher = better) | 18% | 22% | 9th |
A higher percentile is better, and the 99th is the top of the league.
Arsenal
Jason Foley mixes his sinker (42%) and slider (27%). His best pitch has been the sinker, saving 2.2 bases per 100 thrown against league average.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
He allowed about 52 estimated bases, against a replacement arm's 61 over the same batters faced.
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
He saved 2.6 bases against league average across 449 pitches, or 0.6 per 100 pitches.
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Mix by batter side
Compared with the league, his slider tilts 18 points more toward righties.
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Jason Foley's pitch movement, 2026
None of his pitches has clearly moved from its early-season shape.
The verdict above compares each pitch with his own early-season outings in 2026, not with other pitchers, after taking out the league-wide drift in break.
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By appearance
These charts follow his velocity, movement and pitch mix one outing at a time, and each pitch keeps the same color in every chart. The velocity and movement charts also shade the middle of the league for scale.
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
He handles righty bats better than lefty bats, by 0.043 EB/PA allowed.
50% probable range: +0.035 to +0.052
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.501 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.479 to 0.522, based on 60 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.540 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.451 EB/PA.
His raw rate vs LHB (0.540) is off this scale. Small samples can push a raw rate this far, which is why the dot, the shrunk estimate, is the number to trust.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.459 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.436 to 0.479, based on 57 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.334 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.435 EB/PA.
His raw rate vs RHB (0.334) is off this scale. Small samples can push a raw rate this far, which is why the dot, the shrunk estimate, is the number to trust.
His split is about typical for a righty arm (median 0.042). He allows more than the league median against both sides.
How to read this chart
- Each dot is his estimate against that side, with its 50% probable range as the bar. These are bases allowed, so lower is better.
- The diamond is his raw rate, which small samples make noisy, so the simulator pulls the dot toward a more trustworthy value.
- The dashed tick is the league median, and the shaded strip is the middle half of pitchers with 100 or more batters faced.
- The two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed, not the xEB/PA headline.
- Tap or hover a mark for its number. LHB and RHB are left- and right-handed batters. More on the About page
Contact allowed
Batters go to the pull side off him most often, but they do the most damage up the middle.
Pull side and opposite field depend on which side each batter hits from, so this pools every hitter he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Luck check
4 hits off him had less than a 20% chance of being hits.
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Deserved vs. actual
Batters have been credited with about the bases their contact off Jason Foley deserved.
Both bars count 91 balls in play, with walks and strikeouts left out.
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ERA 4.15 · WHIP 1.50 · BABIP against 0.292 (Lg median 0.286)
Best games
Best games
These are his best outings this season, ranked by bases saved against a replacement arm.
- vs CardinalsSep 7, 2026
8 BF · 0 K, 1 BB, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 2.0
- Above replacement
- +2.2
- vs RedsAug 24, 2026
4 BF · 3 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.1
- Above replacement
- +2.0
- vs Red SoxAug 21, 2026
7 BF · 1 K, 2 H
- Bases allowed
- 1.8
- Above replacement
- +1.9
- vs BravesAug 31, 2026
6 BF · 1 K, 2 H
- Bases allowed
- 1.4
- Above replacement
- +1.8
- vs RoyalsJul 20, 2026
3 BF · 0 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.1
- Above replacement
- +1.4
Trends
Multi-season trends · Jason Foley
Compared with his previous season, his HR allowed% is down, his BB% is up, his K% is down, his GB% against is up, his FB% against is down and his Pull% against is up.
Actual rates show what happened on the field, season by season.