Dylan Lee
2026Grade
Suppresses damage and throws strikes — the full package.
Lee is among the league's best at preventing damage
The simulator expects 0.393 bases allowed per batter faced against him — better than 97th percentile of qualified pitchers. His standout tool is Strikeouts (95th percentile). Short relief stints inflate strikeout rates a touch, so read the Strikeouts spoke with that in mind.
216 batters faced · data through 2026-08-22.
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Plays like…
Same archetype, nearest by rate — pick one to see him side by side with Dylan Lee.
Pitcher type
Pitcher type
Where he sits among qualified pitchers on the two skills that separate styles.
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| Dylan Lee | League median | Percentile | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bases per ball in play(lower = better) | .446 | .528 | 97th |
| Walk rate(lower = better) | 7% | 9% | 82nd |
| Strikeout rate(higher = better) | 28% | 22% | 95th |
100th percentile = best in MLB.
Arsenal
Dylan Lee leans on his slider (53% of pitches). His best pitch has been the four-seam fastball, saving 5.1 bases per 100 thrown vs average.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
allowed 75 bases vs a replacement arm's 111 over the same batters faced
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
27.9 bases saved vs league average, across 889 pitches — 3.1 per 100.
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Mix by batter side
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Dylan Lee's pitch movement, 2026
His Slider has moved 2+ inches from its early-season shape; his other 2 have not.
Compared with his own earlier outings this season, not with other pitchers — and after taking out the drift every pitch in the league shows through midsummer.
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By appearance
One point per outing — how his velocity, movement, and pitch mix have moved across the season, with league context for scale. Each pitch keeps the same color in every chart.
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
Better vs LHB than vs RHB by 0.038 EB/PA allowed (modeled).
50% probable range: +0.029 to +0.048
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.357 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.336 to 0.378, based on 80 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.324 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.454 EB/PA.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.395 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.374 to 0.415, based on 136 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.327 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.440 EB/PA.
About the typical split for a lefty arm (median 0.039). He allows less than the league median against both sides, so his weaker side is still a strength — not a hole.
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- Tap or hover any mark for its number, or tab to a row for all of them.
- His raw rate is the unshrunk number against that side — small samples make it noisy, which is why the model pulls his estimate toward a more trustworthy value.
- “Middle half of the league” is the 25th–75th percentile of all pitchers against that side.
- These are bases allowed, so lower is better. Weighted by how often he faces each side, the two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed — not the xEB/PA headline at the top of the page, which folds in strikeouts and walks differently.
- Shrunk splits beat raw splits on held-out seasons, most decisively at low batters-faced counts (relievers especially), and converge with the raw numbers as exposure builds.
Contact allowed
Batters go to the pull side off him most often, and that's where the hardest contact comes from.
Pull and oppo are relative to each batter's stance, so this pools all the hitters he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Luck check
Escaped damage once — a crushed ball the simulator scores as a near-certain hit died in a glove behind him.
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Earned vs. actual
Batters have been credited about 5 fewer bases than their contact off Dylan Lee earned — his results have run fortunate so far.
over 133 balls in play · walks and strikeouts excluded on both sides
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ERA 2.02 · WHIP 0.76 · BABIP against 0.223 (Lg median 0.286)
Best games
Best games
His best outings this season by bases saved vs a replacement arm.
- vs TigersApr 29, 2026
5 BF · 4 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.3
- Above replacement
- +2.3
- vs CardinalsJul 12, 2026
5 BF · 2 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.4
- Above replacement
- +2.2
- vs PadresJun 23, 2026
4 BF · 0 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.2
- Above replacement
- +1.9
- vs MarlinsMay 19, 2026
6 BF · 2 K, 2 H
- Bases allowed
- 1.5
- Above replacement
- +1.6
- vs MarinersMay 5, 2026
3 BF · 3 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.0
- Above replacement
- +1.5
Trends
Multi-season trends · Dylan Lee
HR allowed% down, BB% up, K% up, Barrel% against down, FB% against up vs last season
Actual rates — what happened on the field, season by season.