Kyle Hurt
2026Grade
A blend of skills without one defining trait.
Hurt sits right around league average
The simulator expects 0.453 bases allowed per batter faced against him — better than 50th percentile of qualified pitchers. His standout tool is Strikeouts (83rd percentile). The soft spot is Command (14th percentile). Short relief stints inflate strikeout rates a touch, so read the Strikeouts spoke with that in mind.
180 batters faced · data through 2026-08-22.
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Plays like…
Same archetype, nearest by rate — pick one to see him side by side with Kyle Hurt.
Pitcher type
Pitcher type
Where he sits among qualified pitchers on the two skills that separate styles.
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| Kyle Hurt | League median | Percentile | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bases per ball in play(lower = better) | .568 | .528 | 50th |
| Walk rate(lower = better) | 12% | 9% | 14th |
| Strikeout rate(higher = better) | 25% | 22% | 83rd |
100th percentile = best in MLB.
Arsenal
Kyle Hurt leans on his four-seam fastball (55% of pitches). His best pitch has been the four-seam fastball, saving 0.5 bases per 100 thrown vs average, with a 34% whiff rate.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
allowed 80 bases vs a replacement arm's 92 over the same batters faced
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
0.5 bases cost vs league average, across 666 pitches — 0.1 per 100.
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Mix by batter side
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Kyle Hurt's pitch movement, 2026
None of his pitches have moved from their early-season shape.
Compared with his own earlier outings this season, not with other pitchers — and after taking out the drift every pitch in the league shows through midsummer.
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By appearance
One point per outing — how his velocity, movement, and pitch mix have moved across the season, with league context for scale. Each pitch keeps the same color in every chart.
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
Better vs RHB than vs LHB by 0.040 EB/PA allowed (modeled).
50% probable range: +0.032 to +0.049
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.439 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.418 to 0.459, based on 78 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.497 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.454 EB/PA.
Raw vs LHB rate (0.497) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.400 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.378 to 0.421, based on 103 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.426 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.440 EB/PA.
About the typical split for a righty arm (median 0.040). He allows less than the league median against both sides, so his weaker side is still a strength — not a hole.
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- Tap or hover any mark for its number, or tab to a row for all of them.
- His raw rate is the unshrunk number against that side — small samples make it noisy, which is why the model pulls his estimate toward a more trustworthy value.
- “Middle half of the league” is the 25th–75th percentile of all pitchers against that side.
- These are bases allowed, so lower is better. Weighted by how often he faces each side, the two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed — not the xEB/PA headline at the top of the page, which folds in strikeouts and walks differently.
- Shrunk splits beat raw splits on held-out seasons, most decisively at low batters-faced counts (relievers especially), and converge with the raw numbers as exposure builds.
Contact allowed
Batters go to the pull side off him most often, but the hardest contact goes up the middle.
Pull and oppo are relative to each batter's stance, so this pools all the hitters he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Luck check
Burned 4 times — balls with a hit probability under 20% that found grass anyway.
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Earned vs. actual
Results have matched the contact quality — batters have been credited about what they earned off Kyle Hurt.
over 105 balls in play · walks and strikeouts excluded on both sides
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ERA 4.61 · WHIP 1.41 · BABIP against 0.310 (Lg median 0.286)
Best games
Best games
His best outings this season by bases saved vs a replacement arm.
- vs AthleticsJun 29, 2026
3 BF · 3 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.0
- Above replacement
- +1.5
- vs MarlinsApr 29, 2026
3 BF · 1 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.0
- Above replacement
- +1.5
- vs CardinalsMay 1, 2026
3 BF · 2 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.0
- Above replacement
- +1.5
- vs AngelsJun 7, 2026
6 BF · 3 K, 2 H
- Bases allowed
- 1.6
- Above replacement
- +1.5
- vs D-backsAug 9, 2026
3 BF · 1 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.1
- Above replacement
- +1.5