MacKenzie Gore
2026Grade
Misses bats in bunches; lives with the walks.
Gore is comfortably above average at preventing runs
The simulator expects 0.432 bases allowed per batter faced against him — better than 77th percentile of qualified pitchers. His standout tool is Strikeouts (84th percentile). The soft spot is Quiet Contact (20th percentile).
619 batters faced · data through 2026-08-22.
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Plays like…
Same archetype, nearest by rate — pick one to see him side by side with MacKenzie Gore.
Pitcher type
Pitcher type
Where he sits among qualified pitchers on the two skills that separate styles.
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| MacKenzie Gore | League median | Percentile | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bases per ball in play(lower = better) | .516 | .528 | 77th |
| Walk rate(lower = better) | 9% | 9% | 58th |
| Strikeout rate(higher = better) | 25% | 22% | 84th |
100th percentile = best in MLB.
Arsenal
MacKenzie Gore leans on his four-seam fastball (47% of pitches). His best pitch has been the four-seam fastball, saving 2.5 bases per 100 thrown vs average.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
allowed 259 bases vs a replacement arm's 344 over the same batters faced
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
15.5 bases saved vs league average, across 2,469 pitches — 0.6 per 100.
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Mix by batter side
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MacKenzie Gore's pitch movement, 2026
His Slider has moved 2+ inches from its early-season shape; his other 5 have not.
Compared with his own earlier outings this season, not with other pitchers — and after taking out the drift every pitch in the league shows through midsummer.
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By appearance
One point per outing — how his velocity, movement, and pitch mix have moved across the season, with league context for scale. Each pitch keeps the same color in every chart.
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
Better vs LHB than vs RHB by 0.036 EB/PA allowed (modeled).
50% probable range: +0.027 to +0.045
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.393 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.376 to 0.410, based on 157 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.466 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.454 EB/PA.
Raw vs LHB rate (0.466) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.429 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.413 to 0.444, based on 462 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.415 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.440 EB/PA.
About the typical split for a lefty arm (median 0.039). He allows less than the league median against both sides, so his weaker side is still a strength — not a hole.
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- Tap or hover any mark for its number, or tab to a row for all of them.
- His raw rate is the unshrunk number against that side — small samples make it noisy, which is why the model pulls his estimate toward a more trustworthy value.
- “Middle half of the league” is the 25th–75th percentile of all pitchers against that side.
- These are bases allowed, so lower is better. Weighted by how often he faces each side, the two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed — not the xEB/PA headline at the top of the page, which folds in strikeouts and walks differently.
- Shrunk splits beat raw splits on held-out seasons, most decisively at low batters-faced counts (relievers especially), and converge with the raw numbers as exposure builds.
Contact allowed
Batters go up the middle off him most often, but the hardest contact goes to the pull side.
Pull and oppo are relative to each batter's stance, so this pools all the hitters he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Luck check
Escaped damage 5 times — crushed balls the simulator scores as near-certain hits that died in gloves behind him.
Burned 10 times — balls with a hit probability under 20% that found grass anyway.
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Earned vs. actual
Batters have been credited about 10 more bases than their contact off MacKenzie Gore earned — his results have run unlucky so far.
over 399 balls in play · walks and strikeouts excluded on both sides
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ERA 4.26 · WHIP 1.23 · BABIP against 0.286 (Lg median 0.286)
Times through order
Best games
Best games
His best outings this season by bases saved vs a replacement arm.
- vs AngelsAug 21, 2026
22 BF · 7 K, 1 BB, 2 H, 1 HBP
- Bases allowed
- 5.2
- Above replacement
- +7.1
- vs Blue JaysJun 25, 2026
25 BF · 5 K, 1 BB, 4 H
- Bases allowed
- 7.7
- Above replacement
- +6.2
- vs RoyalsMay 29, 2026
24 BF · 3 K, 1 BB, 4 H, 1 HBP
- Bases allowed
- 8.1
- Above replacement
- +5.3
- vs RaysJul 29, 2026
25 BF · 9 K, 3 H, 2 HR, 1 HBP
- Bases allowed
- 8.7
- Above replacement
- +5.2
- vs MarinersApr 8, 2026
17 BF · 9 K, 2 BB, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 4.3
- Above replacement
- +5.1
Trends
Multi-season trends · MacKenzie Gore
BB% down, Barrel% against down, FB% against down vs last season
Actual rates — what happened on the field, season by season.