Ryan Rolison
2026Grade
A blend of skills without one defining trait.
Rolison sits right around league average
The simulator expects 0.440 bases allowed per batter faced against him — better than 69th percentile of qualified pitchers. The soft spot is Command (21st percentile). Short relief stints inflate strikeout rates a touch, so read the Strikeouts spoke with that in mind.
204 batters faced · data through 2026-08-22.
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Plays like…
Same archetype, nearest by rate — pick one to see him side by side with Ryan Rolison.
Pitcher type
Pitcher type
Where he sits among qualified pitchers on the two skills that separate styles.
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| Ryan Rolison | League median | Percentile | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bases per ball in play(lower = better) | .458 | .528 | 69th |
| Walk rate(lower = better) | 11% | 9% | 21st |
| Strikeout rate(higher = better) | 23% | 22% | 40th |
100th percentile = best in MLB.
Arsenal
Ryan Rolison mixes his four-seam fastball (43%) and curveball (18%). His best pitch has been the sinker, saving 6.5 bases per 100 thrown vs average, with a 25% whiff rate.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
allowed 83 bases vs a replacement arm's 105 over the same batters faced
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
9.1 bases saved vs league average, across 775 pitches — 1.2 per 100.
Rarely used: changeup (2%)
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Mix by batter side
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Ryan Rolison's pitch movement, 2026
His Sinker has moved 2+ inches from its early-season shape; his other 4 have not.
Compared with his own earlier outings this season, not with other pitchers — and after taking out the drift every pitch in the league shows through midsummer.
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By appearance
One point per outing — how his velocity, movement, and pitch mix have moved across the season, with league context for scale. Each pitch keeps the same color in every chart.
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
Better vs LHB than vs RHB by 0.041 EB/PA allowed (modeled).
50% probable range: +0.031 to +0.050
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.429 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.409 to 0.450, based on 93 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.289 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.454 EB/PA.
Raw vs LHB rate (0.289) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.470 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.450 to 0.490, based on 114 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.492 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.440 EB/PA.
About the typical split for a lefty arm (median 0.039). Against righty bats he allows more than the league median — a genuine platoon vulnerability.
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- Tap or hover any mark for its number, or tab to a row for all of them.
- His raw rate is the unshrunk number against that side — small samples make it noisy, which is why the model pulls his estimate toward a more trustworthy value.
- “Middle half of the league” is the 25th–75th percentile of all pitchers against that side.
- These are bases allowed, so lower is better. Weighted by how often he faces each side, the two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed — not the xEB/PA headline at the top of the page, which folds in strikeouts and walks differently.
- Shrunk splits beat raw splits on held-out seasons, most decisively at low batters-faced counts (relievers especially), and converge with the raw numbers as exposure builds.
Contact allowed
Batters go to the pull side off him most often, but the hardest contact goes to the opposite field.
Pull and oppo are relative to each batter's stance, so this pools all the hitters he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Luck check
Burned once — a ball with a hit probability under 20% that found grass anyway.
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Earned vs. actual
Results have matched the contact quality — batters have been credited about what they earned off Ryan Rolison.
over 131 balls in play · walks and strikeouts excluded on both sides
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ERA 2.82 · WHIP 1.25 · BABIP against 0.278 (Lg median 0.286)
Best games
Best games
His best outings this season by bases saved vs a replacement arm.
- vs PadresApr 28, 2026
6 BF · 2 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.3
- Above replacement
- +2.8
- vs DodgersApr 24, 2026
10 BF · 1 K, 2 H
- Bases allowed
- 2.8
- Above replacement
- +2.4
- vs AthleticsJun 4, 2026
5 BF · 3 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.3
- Above replacement
- +2.2
- vs RockiesJun 16, 2026
6 BF · 3 K, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 1.0
- Above replacement
- +2.0
- vs YankeesAug 2, 2026
6 BF · 2 K, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 1.2
- Above replacement
- +1.9
Trends
Multi-season trends · Ryan Rolison
xEB/PA down, HR allowed% down, K% up, Barrel% against down vs last season
Actual rates — what happened on the field, season by season.