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Braxton Garrett

2026
Cubs· LHP · throws L· 9.1 IP· 7.71 ERA· 2.36 WHIP· 49 batters faced

Grade

His grade shows how good he has been, and at what.
Starter

His grade is not ready yet

The simulator does not have enough data yet to grade how well he limits bases.

His grade rests on 49 batters faced, with data through 2026-09-27.

How to read this chart
Each spoke is a skill estimate adjusted for sample size, not a raw season stat, and farther out is better. A ↓ marks a stat where a lower number is better, and its spoke is flipped so farther out still means better. The middle ring marks the league median and the outer ring the league best. Percentiles compare him with 517 qualified pitchers, those with 100+ batters faced, starters and relievers together. He has not reached that bar himself, so he is measured against them rather than counted among them.

Pitcher type

This map shows what kind of pitcher he is, next to the league.

Arsenal

These cards show what he throws and what each pitch does.

Braxton Garrett mixes his sinker (27%) and slider (22%). No pitch has beaten league-average results yet, and the sinker has come closest.

Pitch mix & swing-and-miss

+6 bases better than a replacement arm this season

He allowed about 23 estimated bases, against a replacement arm's 29 over the same batters faced.

Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.

All pitches

He cost 4.0 bases against league average across 53 pitches, or 7.5 per 100 pitches.

Sinker
27%
90.7 mph · LHP median 92.9
—
cost 7.6 per 1004.0 total
Slider
not charted
22%
85.8 mph · LHP median 85.6
—
—
Four-Seam Fastball
not charted
19%
91.5 mph · LHP median 93.5
—
—
Sweeper
not charted
17%
83.2 mph · LHP median 81.2
—
—
Changeup
not charted
16%
84.8 mph · LHP median 85.1
—
—

Only his sinker is in the charts below, because the rest were tracked too rarely to plot.

How to read this chart
Each row is a pitch he throws at least 3% of the time, from pitch tracking in the regular season. The bar is how often he throws it, then its average velocity and its whiff rate, the share of swings that miss. Beside the velocity and the whiff rate is the median for that pitch, among pitchers of his hand for velocity and across the league for whiffs. More whiffs are better for a pitcher, while usage and velocity describe how he pitches. The Bases vs average bars score each pitch against a league-average pitch in the same count, and a bar to the left (saved) is better.

By appearance

These charts follow his velocity, movement and mix from outing to outing.

These charts follow his velocity, movement and pitch mix one outing at a time, and each pitch keeps the same color in every chart. The velocity and movement charts also shade the middle of the league for scale. Only his sinker is in these charts, because the rest were tracked too rarely to plot.

Platoon splits

This section splits his results against lefties and righties.

Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)

He handles lefty bats better than righty bats, by 0.038 EB/PA allowed.

50% probable range: +0.029 to +0.047

vs LHB9 PA0.514

vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.514 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.493 to 0.539, based on 9 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.524 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.451 EB/PA.

vs RHB40 PA0.553

vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.553 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.530 to 0.575, based on 40 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.575 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.435 EB/PA.

0.4180.4620.5050.5480.592
← betterworse →
Below league medianAbove50% probable rangeHis raw rateMiddle half of the league

His split is about typical for a lefty arm (median 0.038). He allows more than the league median against both sides.

How to read this chart
  • Each dot is his estimate against that side, with its 50% probable range as the bar. These are bases allowed, so lower is better.
  • The diamond is his raw rate, which small samples make noisy, so the simulator pulls the dot toward a more trustworthy value.
  • The dashed tick is the league median, and the shaded strip is the middle half of pitchers with 100 or more batters faced.
  • The two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed, not the xEB/PA headline.
  • Tap or hover a mark for its number. LHB and RHB are left- and right-handed batters. More on the About page

Contact allowed

These cards show what hitters do when they make contact.

Batters go to the pull side off him most often, and that's also where they do the most damage.

Pull side and opposite field depend on which side each batter hits from, so this pools every hitter he faced.

Batted balls allowed

Every ball hit off Braxton Garrett this season is drawn where it landed.
hit · out
EBlowhigh
vs Brooks LeeDouble
102 mph · 24° · worth 3.2 bases
05/14 vs Twins
vs Austin MartinDouble
94 mph · 26° · worth 2.3 bases
05/14 vs Twins
vs Mauricio DubónDouble
106 mph · 20° · worth 1.6 bases
05/19 vs Braves
vs Nate EatonSingle
100 mph · 11° · worth 1.5 bases
09/27 vs Red Sox
vs Ceddanne RafaelaSingle
80 mph · 20° · worth 0.9 bases
09/27 vs Red Sox
How to read this chart
Dot color is estimated bases (EB), what the contact was worth no matter what the defense did with it. Darker means more bases, so a dark hollow ring in the outfield is a crushed ball his defense ran down. Tap or hover a dot or a row to link the two, and use the ▶ links to watch a play on Baseball Savant.

Times through the order

These charts show what happens as hitters see him a second and third time.

Best games

These are his biggest outings this season.

Best games

These are his best outings this season, ranked by bases saved against a replacement arm.

Multi-season trends · Braxton Garrett

Compared with his previous season, his HR allowed% is down, his BB% is up and his K% is down.

Actual rates show what happened on the field, season by season.