Richard Lovelady
2026Grade
Below league average across the board.
Lovelady is getting hit harder than most pitchers
The simulator expects 0.488 bases allowed per batter faced against him — better than 8th percentile of qualified pitchers. His standout tool is Quiet Contact (71st percentile). The soft spot is Command (7th percentile). Short relief stints inflate strikeout rates a touch, so read the Strikeouts spoke with that in mind.
146 batters faced · data through 2026-08-22.
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Plays like…
Same archetype, nearest by rate — pick one to see him side by side with Richard Lovelady.
Pitcher type
Pitcher type
Where he sits among qualified pitchers on the two skills that separate styles.
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| Richard Lovelady | League median | Percentile | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bases per ball in play(lower = better) | .525 | .528 | 8th |
| Walk rate(lower = better) | 13% | 9% | 7th |
| Strikeout rate(higher = better) | 20% | 22% | 27th |
100th percentile = best in MLB.
Arsenal
Richard Lovelady mixes his sweeper (43%) and sinker (30%). No pitch has beaten league-average results yet — the sweeper has come closest.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
allowed 68 bases vs a replacement arm's 75 over the same batters faced
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
4.5 bases cost vs league average, across 507 pitches — 0.9 per 100.
His slider isn't in the charts below — only 32 of them were tracked with velocity and movement data this season.
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Mix by batter side
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Richard Lovelady's pitch movement, 2026
His Sweeper has moved 2+ inches from its early-season shape.
Compared with his own earlier outings this season, not with other pitchers — and after taking out the drift every pitch in the league shows through midsummer.
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By appearance
One point per outing — how his velocity, movement, and pitch mix have moved across the season, with league context for scale. Each pitch keeps the same color in every chart. His slider isn't in these charts — only 32 of them were tracked with velocity and movement data this season.
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
Better vs LHB than vs RHB by 0.038 EB/PA allowed (modeled).
50% probable range: +0.029 to +0.048
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.454 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.433 to 0.475, based on 69 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.491 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.454 EB/PA.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.493 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.471 to 0.514, based on 77 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.506 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.440 EB/PA.
About the typical split for a lefty arm (median 0.039). Against righty bats he allows more than the league median — a genuine platoon vulnerability.
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- Tap or hover any mark for its number, or tab to a row for all of them.
- His raw rate is the unshrunk number against that side — small samples make it noisy, which is why the model pulls his estimate toward a more trustworthy value.
- “Middle half of the league” is the 25th–75th percentile of all pitchers against that side.
- These are bases allowed, so lower is better. Weighted by how often he faces each side, the two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed — not the xEB/PA headline at the top of the page, which folds in strikeouts and walks differently.
- Shrunk splits beat raw splits on held-out seasons, most decisively at low batters-faced counts (relievers especially), and converge with the raw numbers as exposure builds.
Contact allowed
Batters go up the middle off him most often, but the hardest contact goes to the opposite field.
Pull and oppo are relative to each batter's stance, so this pools all the hitters he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Luck check
Burned 2 times — balls with a hit probability under 20% that found grass anyway.
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Earned vs. actual
Results have matched the contact quality — batters have been credited about what they earned off Richard Lovelady.
over 93 balls in play · walks and strikeouts excluded on both sides
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ERA 3.86 · WHIP 1.81 · BABIP against 0.337 (Lg median 0.286)
Best games
Best games
His best outings this season by bases saved vs a replacement arm.
- vs GiantsApr 18, 2026
7 BF · 2 K, 1 BB
- Bases allowed
- 1.7
- Above replacement
- +1.9
- vs D-backsApr 9, 2026
5 BF · 1 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.9
- Above replacement
- +1.6
- vs BravesMay 22, 2026
4 BF · 0 K, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 0.5
- Above replacement
- +1.6
- vs MetsMay 19, 2026
3 BF · 1 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.1
- Above replacement
- +1.5
- vs White SoxApr 26, 2026
5 BF · 2 K, 1 BB, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 1.2
- Above replacement
- +1.4
Trends
Multi-season trends · Richard Lovelady
HR allowed% down, BB% up, K% down vs last season
Actual rates — what happened on the field, season by season.