Jordan Hicks
2026Grade
Misses bats in bunches; lives with the walks.
Hicks sits right around league average
The simulator expects him to allow 0.445 bases per batter faced, better than 64% of qualified pitchers. His best skill is getting strikeouts (81st percentile). His weakest skill is limiting walks (2nd percentile). Short relief outings push strikeout rates up a little, so read his K% spoke with that in mind.
His grade rests on 216 batters faced, with data through 2026-09-27.
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Plays like…
Each of these pitchers shares his archetype and sits closest to him in xEB/PA. Pick one to see him side by side with Jordan Hicks.
Pitcher type
Pitcher type
He lands in the “Limits hard contact, pitches to contact” corner of the map.
League best:K% − BB% Jacob Misiorowski (26.8%)Hard-hit% allowed Blake Snell (29.0%)
How to read this chart
| Jordan Hicks | League median | Percentile | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bases per ball in play(lower = better) | .464 | .527 | — |
| Walk rate(lower = better) | 14% | 9% | 2nd |
| Strikeout rate(higher = better) | 26% | 22% | 81st |
A higher percentile is better, and the 99th is the top of the league.
Arsenal
Jordan Hicks leans on his sinker (46% of pitches). His best pitch has been the four-seam fastball, saving 4.4 bases per 100 thrown against league average, and his sinker runs 4.4 mph faster than the median right-handed pitcher's.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
He allowed about 83 estimated bases, against a replacement arm's 113 over the same batters faced.
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
He saved 10.7 bases against league average across 857 pitches, or 1.2 per 100 pitches.
His splitter isn't in the charts below, because only 31 of them were tracked with velocity and movement data this season.
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Mix by batter side
Compared with the league, his sinker tilts 17 points more toward lefties.
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Jordan Hicks's pitch movement, 2026
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By appearance
These charts follow his velocity, movement and pitch mix one outing at a time, and each pitch keeps the same color in every chart. The velocity and movement charts also shade the middle of the league for scale. His splitter isn't in these charts, because only 31 of them were tracked with velocity and movement data this season.
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
He handles righty bats better than lefty bats, by 0.041 EB/PA allowed.
50% probable range: +0.033 to +0.049
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.431 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.412 to 0.452, based on 85 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.380 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.451 EB/PA.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.390 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.370 to 0.408, based on 132 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.421 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.435 EB/PA.
His split is about typical for a righty arm (median 0.042). He allows less than the league median against both sides, so even his weaker side is a strength.
How to read this chart
- Each dot is his estimate against that side, with its 50% probable range as the bar. These are bases allowed, so lower is better.
- The diamond is his raw rate, which small samples make noisy, so the simulator pulls the dot toward a more trustworthy value.
- The dashed tick is the league median, and the shaded strip is the middle half of pitchers with 100 or more batters faced.
- The two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed, not the xEB/PA headline.
- Tap or hover a mark for its number. LHB and RHB are left- and right-handed batters. More on the About page
Contact allowed
Batters go to the pull side off him most often, and that's also where they do the most damage.
Pull side and opposite field depend on which side each batter hits from, so this pools every hitter he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Luck check
2 hits off him had less than a 20% chance of being hits.
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Deserved vs. actual
Batters have been credited with about 8 more bases than their contact off Jordan Hicks deserved, so his results have been unlucky so far.
Both bars count 116 balls in play, with walks and strikeouts left out.
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ERA 3.94 · WHIP 1.54 · BABIP against 0.330 (Lg median 0.286)
Times through the order
Best games
Best games
These are his best outings this season, ranked by bases saved against a replacement arm.
- vs Red SoxJul 9, 2026
5 BF · 2 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.2
- Above replacement
- +2.4
- vs TigersAug 15, 2026
5 BF · 3 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.6
- Above replacement
- +2.0
- vs TwinsSep 6, 2026
5 BF · 3 K, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 0.7
- Above replacement
- +1.9
- vs RangersJul 22, 2026score only
4 BF · 1 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.4
- Above replacement
- +1.6
- vs RoyalsJun 28, 2026
4 BF · 2 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.5
- Above replacement
- +1.6
Trends
Multi-season trends · Jordan Hicks
Compared with last season, his BB% is up, his K% is up, his Barrel% against is down, his Hard-hit% against is down, his GB% against is down and his FB% against is up.
Actual rates show what happened on the field, season by season.