Robert Suarez
2026Grade
Suppresses damage and throws strikes — the full package.
Suarez is comfortably above average at preventing runs
The simulator expects 0.427 bases allowed per batter faced against him — better than 83rd percentile of qualified pitchers. His standout tool is HR Suppression (95th percentile). Short relief stints inflate strikeout rates a touch, so read the Strikeouts spoke with that in mind.
121 batters faced · data through 2026-08-22.
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Plays like…
Same archetype, nearest by rate — pick one to see him side by side with Robert Suarez.
Pitcher type
Pitcher type
Where he sits among qualified pitchers on the two skills that separate styles.
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| Robert Suarez | League median | Percentile | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bases per ball in play(lower = better) | .448 | .528 | 83rd |
| Walk rate(lower = better) | 6% | 9% | 89th |
| Strikeout rate(higher = better) | 22% | 22% | 51st |
100th percentile = best in MLB.
Arsenal
Robert Suarez leans on his four-seam fastball (47% of pitches). His best pitch has been the changeup, saving 3.5 bases per 100 thrown vs average, and his four-seam fastball runs 3.7 mph above the league norm.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
allowed 47 bases vs a replacement arm's 62 over the same batters faced
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
7.6 bases saved vs league average, across 438 pitches — 1.7 per 100.
His sinker isn't in the charts below — only 28 of them were tracked with velocity and movement data this season.
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Mix by batter side
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Robert Suarez's pitch movement, 2026
His Cutter has moved 2+ inches from its early-season shape.
Compared with his own earlier outings this season, not with other pitchers — and after taking out the drift every pitch in the league shows through midsummer.
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By appearance
One point per outing — how his velocity, movement, and pitch mix have moved across the season, with league context for scale. Each pitch keeps the same color in every chart. His sinker isn't in these charts — only 28 of them were tracked with velocity and movement data this season.
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
Better vs RHB than vs LHB by 0.039 EB/PA allowed (modeled).
50% probable range: +0.031 to +0.047
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.454 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.434 to 0.477, based on 67 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.341 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.454 EB/PA.
Raw vs LHB rate (0.341) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.416 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.394 to 0.438, based on 54 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.410 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.440 EB/PA.
About the typical split for a righty arm (median 0.040).
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- Tap or hover any mark for its number, or tab to a row for all of them.
- His raw rate is the unshrunk number against that side — small samples make it noisy, which is why the model pulls his estimate toward a more trustworthy value.
- “Middle half of the league” is the 25th–75th percentile of all pitchers against that side.
- These are bases allowed, so lower is better. Weighted by how often he faces each side, the two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed — not the xEB/PA headline at the top of the page, which folds in strikeouts and walks differently.
- Shrunk splits beat raw splits on held-out seasons, most decisively at low batters-faced counts (relievers especially), and converge with the raw numbers as exposure builds.
Contact allowed
Batters go up the middle off him most often, but the hardest contact goes to the pull side.
Pull and oppo are relative to each batter's stance, so this pools all the hitters he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Luck check
Escaped damage 2 times — crushed balls the simulator scores as near-certain hits that died in gloves behind him.
Burned once — a ball with a hit probability under 20% that found grass anyway.
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Earned vs. actual
Batters have been credited about 14 fewer bases than their contact off Robert Suarez earned — his results have run fortunate so far.
over 87 balls in play · walks and strikeouts excluded on both sides
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ERA 0.56 · WHIP 0.84 · BABIP against 0.233 (Lg median 0.286)
Best games
Best games
His best outings this season by bases saved vs a replacement arm.
- vs Red SoxMay 15, 2026
4 BF · 1 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.5
- Above replacement
- +1.6
- vs D-backsApr 5, 2026
3 BF · 3 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.0
- Above replacement
- +1.5
- vs PhilliesApr 18, 2026
3 BF · 2 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.0
- Above replacement
- +1.5
- vs RockiesMay 1, 2026
4 BF · 1 K, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 0.5
- Above replacement
- +1.5
- vs MarinersMay 5, 2026
3 BF · 2 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.0
- Above replacement
- +1.5
Trends
Multi-season trends · Robert Suarez
HR allowed% down, BB% down, K% down, Barrel% against down, Hard-hit% against down, GB% against up, FB% against down vs last season
Actual rates — what happened on the field, season by season.