José Suarez
2026Grade
Rarely walks anyone and lets the defense work.
Suarez has been below average at limiting bases
The simulator expects him to allow 0.458 bases per batter faced, better than 42% of qualified pitchers. His best skill is limiting hard contact (87th percentile). Short relief outings push strikeout rates up a little, so read his K% spoke with that in mind.
His grade rests on 277 batters faced, with data through 2026-09-27.
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Plays like…
Each of these pitchers shares his archetype and sits closest to him in xEB/PA. Pick one to see him side by side with José Suarez.
Pitcher type
Pitcher type
He lands in the “Limits hard contact, pitches to contact” corner of the map.
League best:K% − BB% Jacob Misiorowski (26.8%)Hard-hit% allowed Blake Snell (29.0%)
How to read this chart
| José Suarez | League median | Percentile | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bases per ball in play(lower = better) | .525 | .527 | — |
| Walk rate(lower = better) | 10% | 9% | 41st |
| Strikeout rate(higher = better) | 22% | 22% | 43rd |
A higher percentile is better, and the 99th is the top of the league.
Arsenal
José Suarez mixes his four-seam fastball (36%) and slider (26%). His best pitch has been the slider, saving 2.5 bases per 100 thrown against league average.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
He allowed about 124 estimated bases, against a replacement arm's 145 over the same batters faced.
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
He cost 1.9 bases against league average across 1,032 pitches, or 0.2 per 100 pitches.
He rarely throws his sweeper and cutter (4% of his pitches combined).
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Mix by batter side
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José Suarez's pitch movement, 2026
His Four-Seam Fastball and Slider have moved 2+ inches from their early-season shapes.
The verdict above compares each pitch with his own early-season outings in 2026, not with other pitchers, after taking out the league-wide drift in break.
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By appearance
These charts follow his velocity, movement and pitch mix one outing at a time, and each pitch keeps the same color in every chart. The velocity and movement charts also shade the middle of the league for scale.
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
He handles lefty bats better than righty bats, by 0.039 EB/PA allowed.
50% probable range: +0.031 to +0.049
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.433 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.412 to 0.451, based on 120 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.392 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.451 EB/PA.
His raw rate vs LHB (0.392) is off this scale. Small samples can push a raw rate this far, which is why the dot, the shrunk estimate, is the number to trust.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.472 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.451 to 0.489, based on 157 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.510 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.435 EB/PA.
His raw rate vs RHB (0.510) is off this scale. Small samples can push a raw rate this far, which is why the dot, the shrunk estimate, is the number to trust.
His split is about typical for a lefty arm (median 0.038). Against righty bats he allows more than the league median, which is a real platoon weakness.
How to read this chart
- Each dot is his estimate against that side, with its 50% probable range as the bar. These are bases allowed, so lower is better.
- The diamond is his raw rate, which small samples make noisy, so the simulator pulls the dot toward a more trustworthy value.
- The dashed tick is the league median, and the shaded strip is the middle half of pitchers with 100 or more batters faced.
- The two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed, not the xEB/PA headline.
- Tap or hover a mark for its number. LHB and RHB are left- and right-handed batters. More on the About page
Contact allowed
Batters go to the pull side off him most often, and that's also where they do the most damage.
Pull side and opposite field depend on which side each batter hits from, so this pools every hitter he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Luck check
3 outs behind him came on balls the simulator values at 1.5 bases or more.
8 hits off him had less than a 20% chance of being hits.
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Deserved vs. actual
Batters have been credited with about 12 more bases than their contact off José Suarez deserved, so his results have been unlucky so far.
Both bars count 185 balls in play, with walks and strikeouts left out.
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ERA 5.87 · WHIP 1.61 · BABIP against 0.369 (Lg median 0.286)
Times through the order
Best games
Best games
These are his best outings this season, ranked by bases saved against a replacement arm.
- vs AngelsJun 19, 2026
8 BF · 3 K, 2 H, 1 HR
- Bases allowed
- 0.8
- Above replacement
- +3.4
- vs BrewersJun 8, 2026score only
7 BF · 4 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.3
- Above replacement
- +3.4
- vs PiratesJun 17, 2026
11 BF · 2 K, 3 H, 1 HR
- Bases allowed
- 2.9
- Above replacement
- +2.9
- vs TigersJul 8, 2026
7 BF · 4 K, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 1.1
- Above replacement
- +2.6
- vs NationalsApr 21, 2026score only
13 BF · 4 K, 4 BB
- Bases allowed
- 4.5
- Above replacement
- +2.3
Trends
Multi-season trends · José Suarez
Compared with last season, his HR allowed% is up, his BB% is down, his K% is up, his Barrel% against is down, his Hard-hit% against is down, his GB% against is down, his FB% against is down and his Pull% against is up.
Actual rates show what happened on the field, season by season.