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Misses bats in bunches; lives with the walks.
The simulator expects 0.469 bases allowed per batter faced against him — better than 35th percentile of qualified pitchers. His standout tool is Quiet Contact (85th percentile). The soft spot is HR Suppression (13th percentile).
Same archetype, nearest by rate — the pitchers whose profile looks most like this one.
| Alan Rangel | League | Percentile | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bases per ball in play(fewer = better) | .531 | .531 | 35th |
| Walk rate(fewer = better) | 11% | 9% | 15th |
| Strikeout rate(higher = better) | 24% | 23% | 58th |
100th percentile = best in MLB.
Alan Rangel mixes his four-seam fastball (36%) and changeup (35%). His best pitch has been the slider, saving 2.4 bases per 100 thrown vs average.
What they throw, how hard, and what misses bats — from pitch tracking, regular season only.
allowed 48 bases vs a replacement arm's 60 over the same batters faced
How the mix shifts against lefty and righty bats. Overall results by batter side are under Platoon splits.
Average velocity each time out — a quick read on fatigue, injury, or a ramp-up. Toggle a pitch or season.
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.439 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.418 to 0.462, based on 64 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.519 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.404 EB/PA.
Raw vs LHB rate (0.519) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.397 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.373 to 0.418, based on 44 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.385 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.386 EB/PA.
About the typical split for a righty arm (median 0.043). He allows more than the league median against both sides.
Batters go to the pull side off him most often, and that's where the hardest contact comes from.
Pull and oppo are relative to each batter's stance, so this pools all the hitters he faced.
Burned 4 times — balls with a hit probability under 20% that found grass anyway.
Every ball in play is worth the bases its exit velocity and direction usually earn. Comparing those earned bases with the bases batters were actually credited shows whether his results have been lucky, unlucky, or fair.
Batters have been credited about 8 more bases than their contact off Alan Rangel earned — his results have run unlucky so far.
over 68 balls in play · walks and strikeouts excluded on both sides
ERA 5.40 · WHIP 1.59 · BABIP against 0.328 (lg 0.286)
His best outings this season by bases saved vs a replacement arm.
HR allowed% up, BB% down, K% up vs last season
Actual rates — what happened on the field, season by season.
Expected bases allowed per plate appearance — lower = stronger run prevention
Shaded band = league 25th–75th percentile range (not this player’s range).
Home runs allowed per plate appearance — lower = better
Shaded band = league 25th–75th percentile range (not this player’s range).
Walks per plate appearance — lower = better command
Shaded band = league 25th–75th percentile range (not this player’s range).
Strikeouts per plate appearance — higher = more swing-and-miss
Shaded band = league 25th–75th percentile range (not this player’s range).
Barrels allowed per batted ball — lower = weaker contact against him
Shaded band = league 25th–75th percentile range (not this player’s range).
Ground balls allowed per batted ball — a shape change, not better or worse
Shaded band = league 25th–75th percentile range (not this player’s range).
Fly balls allowed per batted ball — a shape change, not better or worse
Shaded band = league 25th–75th percentile range (not this player’s range).
Batted balls pulled against him — a shape change, not better or worse
Shaded band = league 25th–75th percentile range (not this player’s range).