Alan Rangel
2026Grade
Below league average across the board.
Rangel is getting hit harder than most pitchers
The simulator expects 0.468 bases allowed per batter faced against him — better than 26th percentile of qualified pitchers. His standout tool is Quiet Contact (85th percentile). The soft spot is Command (27th percentile).
123 batters faced · data through 2026-09-02.
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Plays like…
Same archetype, nearest by rate — pick one to see him side by side with Alan Rangel.
Pitcher type
Pitcher type
Where he sits among qualified pitchers on the two skills that separate styles.
League best:K% − BB% Jacob Misiorowski (26.7%)Hard-hit% against Blake Snell (30.8%)
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| Alan Rangel | League median | Percentile | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bases per ball in play(lower = better) | .598 | .527 | 26th |
| Walk rate(lower = better) | 11% | 9% | 27th |
| Strikeout rate(higher = better) | 23% | 22% | 54th |
100th percentile = best in MLB.
Arsenal
Alan Rangel mixes his changeup (37%) and four-seam fastball (34%). His best pitch has been the slider, saving 3.1 bases per 100 thrown vs average.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
allowed 60 bases vs a replacement arm's 66 over the same batters faced
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
6.7 bases cost vs league average, across 491 pitches — 1.4 per 100.
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Mix by batter side
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Alan Rangel's pitch movement, 2026
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By appearance
One point per outing — how his velocity, movement, and pitch mix have moved across the season, with league context for scale. Each pitch keeps the same color in every chart.
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
Better vs RHB than vs LHB by 0.042 EB/PA allowed (modeled).
50% probable range: +0.034 to +0.050
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.452 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.429 to 0.471, based on 72 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.551 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.454 EB/PA.
Raw vs LHB rate (0.551) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.410 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.387 to 0.429, based on 51 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.443 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.433 EB/PA.
About the typical split for a righty arm (median 0.041).
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- Tap or hover any mark for its number, or tab to a row for all of them.
- His raw rate is the unshrunk number against that side — small samples make it noisy, which is why the simulator pulls his estimate toward a more trustworthy value.
- “Middle half of the league” is the 25th–75th percentile of all pitchers against that side.
- These are bases allowed, so lower is better. Weighted by how often he faces each side, the two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed — not the xEB/PA headline at the top of the page, which folds in strikeouts and walks differently.
- Shrunk splits beat raw splits on held-out seasons, most decisively at low batters-faced counts (relievers especially), and converge with the raw numbers as exposure builds.
Contact allowed
Batters go to the pull side off him most often, and that's where the hardest contact comes from.
Pull and oppo are relative to each batter's stance, so this pools all the hitters he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Luck check
Escaped damage once — a crushed ball the simulator scores as a near-certain hit died in a glove behind him.
Burned 3 times — balls with a hit probability under 20% that found grass anyway.
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Earned vs. actual
Batters have been credited about 6 more bases than their contact off Alan Rangel earned — his results have run unlucky so far.
over 79 balls in play · walks and strikeouts excluded on both sides
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ERA 5.88 · WHIP 1.69 · BABIP against 0.360 (Lg median 0.288)
Best games
Best games
His best outings this season by bases saved vs a replacement arm.
- vs NationalsJun 22, 2026
21 BF · 4 K, 5 H, 1 HR, 1 HBP
- Bases allowed
- 6.8
- Above replacement
- +4.5
- vs CubsApr 22, 2026score only
12 BF · 5 K, 3 H
- Bases allowed
- 3.3
- Above replacement
- +2.9
- vs MetsJun 27, 2026
18 BF · 4 K, 2 BB, 4 H
- Bases allowed
- 6.9
- Above replacement
- +2.8
- vs MetsJul 19, 2026
23 BF · 4 K, 3 BB, 7 H, 1 HR, 1 HBP
- Bases allowed
- 13.7
- Above replacement
- -1.3
- vs PiratesJul 2, 2026
18 BF · 4 K, 4 BB, 3 H
- Bases allowed
- 11.1
- Above replacement
- -1.4
Trends
Multi-season trends · Alan Rangel
HR allowed% up, BB% down, K% up vs last season
Actual rates — what happened on the field, season by season.