Brennan Bernardino
2026Grade
Rarely walks anyone and lets the defense work.
Bernardino sits right around league average
The simulator expects 0.452 bases allowed per batter faced against him — better than 53rd percentile of qualified pitchers. His standout tool is Quiet Contact (84th percentile). The soft spot is Strikeouts (22nd percentile). Short relief stints inflate strikeout rates a touch, so read the Strikeouts spoke with that in mind.
218 batters faced · data through 2026-08-22.
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Plays like…
Same archetype, nearest by rate — pick one to see him side by side with Brennan Bernardino.
Pitcher type
Pitcher type
Where he sits among qualified pitchers on the two skills that separate styles.
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| Brennan Bernardino | League median | Percentile | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bases per ball in play(lower = better) | .486 | .528 | 53rd |
| Walk rate(lower = better) | 7% | 9% | 79th |
| Strikeout rate(higher = better) | 19% | 22% | 22nd |
100th percentile = best in MLB.
Arsenal
Brennan Bernardino mixes his sinker (41%) and curveball (33%). His best pitch has been the sinker, saving 2.3 bases per 100 thrown vs average.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
allowed 94 bases vs a replacement arm's 112 over the same batters faced
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
3.6 bases saved vs league average, across 775 pitches — 0.5 per 100.
His four-seam fastball isn't in the charts below — only 43 of them were tracked with velocity and movement data this season.
Rarely used: sweeper (1%)
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Mix by batter side
Compared with the league, his curveball tilts 22 points more toward lefties.
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Brennan Bernardino's pitch movement, 2026
His Cutter has moved 2+ inches from its early-season shape.
Compared with his own earlier outings this season, not with other pitchers — and after taking out the drift every pitch in the league shows through midsummer.
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By appearance
One point per outing — how his velocity, movement, and pitch mix have moved across the season, with league context for scale. Each pitch keeps the same color in every chart. His four-seam fastball isn't in these charts — only 43 of them were tracked with velocity and movement data this season.
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
Better vs LHB than vs RHB by 0.039 EB/PA allowed (modeled).
50% probable range: +0.030 to +0.048
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.421 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.400 to 0.443, based on 109 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.398 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.454 EB/PA.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.460 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.440 to 0.480, based on 109 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.475 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.440 EB/PA.
About the typical split for a lefty arm (median 0.039). Against righty bats he allows more than the league median — a genuine platoon vulnerability.
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- Tap or hover any mark for its number, or tab to a row for all of them.
- His raw rate is the unshrunk number against that side — small samples make it noisy, which is why the model pulls his estimate toward a more trustworthy value.
- “Middle half of the league” is the 25th–75th percentile of all pitchers against that side.
- These are bases allowed, so lower is better. Weighted by how often he faces each side, the two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed — not the xEB/PA headline at the top of the page, which folds in strikeouts and walks differently.
- Shrunk splits beat raw splits on held-out seasons, most decisively at low batters-faced counts (relievers especially), and converge with the raw numbers as exposure builds.
Contact allowed
Batters go up the middle off him most often, but the hardest contact goes to the opposite field.
Pull and oppo are relative to each batter's stance, so this pools all the hitters he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Luck check
Escaped damage once — a crushed ball the simulator scores as a near-certain hit died in a glove behind him.
Burned 5 times — balls with a hit probability under 20% that found grass anyway.
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Earned vs. actual
Results have matched the contact quality — batters have been credited about what they earned off Brennan Bernardino.
over 161 balls in play · walks and strikeouts excluded on both sides
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ERA 2.77 · WHIP 1.19 · BABIP against 0.280 (Lg median 0.286)
Best games
Best games
His best outings this season by bases saved vs a replacement arm.
- vs NationalsJul 21, 2026
4 BF · 1 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.1
- Above replacement
- +2.0
- vs DodgersMay 27, 2026
4 BF · 0 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.2
- Above replacement
- +1.8
- vs PiratesMay 14, 2026
6 BF · 0 K, 2 H
- Bases allowed
- 1.4
- Above replacement
- +1.6
- vs TwinsJun 27, 2026
3 BF · 1 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.1
- Above replacement
- +1.4
- vs D-backsMay 24, 2026
3 BF · 2 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.1
- Above replacement
- +1.4
Trends
Multi-season trends · Brennan Bernardino
HR allowed% up, BB% down, Barrel% against down, FB% against up vs last season
Actual rates — what happened on the field, season by season.