Jordan Montgomery
2026Grade
Rarely walks anyone and lets the defense work.
Montgomery is comfortably above average at preventing runs
The simulator expects 0.442 bases allowed per batter faced against him — better than 71st percentile of qualified pitchers. His standout tool is Command (79th percentile). The soft spot is Strikeouts (28th percentile). Short relief stints inflate strikeout rates a touch, so read the Strikeouts spoke with that in mind.
104 batters faced · data through 2026-09-27.
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Plays like…
Same archetype, nearest by rate — pick one to see him side by side with Jordan Montgomery.
Pitcher type
Pitcher type
Where he sits among qualified pitchers on the two skills that separate styles.
League best:K% − BB% Jacob Misiorowski (26.8%)Hard-hit% against Blake Snell (29.0%)
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| Jordan Montgomery | League median | Percentile | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bases per ball in play(lower = better) | .400 | .527 | 71st |
| Walk rate(lower = better) | 8% | 9% | 79th |
| Strikeout rate(higher = better) | 21% | 22% | 28th |
100th percentile = best in MLB.
Arsenal
Jordan Montgomery mixes his sinker (39%) and curveball (21%). His best pitch has been the four-seam fastball, saving 4.7 bases per 100 thrown vs average.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
allowed 39 bases vs a replacement arm's 54 over the same batters faced
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
9.8 bases saved vs league average, across 414 pitches — 2.4 per 100.
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Mix by batter side
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Jordan Montgomery's pitch movement, 2026
3 of his 5 pitches have moved 2+ inches from their early-season shapes.
Compared with his own earlier outings this season, not with other pitchers — and after taking out the drift every pitch in the league shows through midsummer.
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By appearance
One point per outing — how his velocity, movement, and pitch mix have moved across the season, with league context for scale. Each pitch keeps the same color in every chart.
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
Better vs LHB than vs RHB by 0.038 EB/PA allowed (modeled).
50% probable range: +0.030 to +0.047
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.419 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.398 to 0.442, based on 40 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.311 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.451 EB/PA.
Raw vs LHB rate (0.311) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.457 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.437 to 0.480, based on 64 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.397 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.435 EB/PA.
About the typical split for a lefty arm (median 0.038). Against righty bats he allows more than the league median — a genuine platoon vulnerability.
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- Tap or hover any mark for its number, or tab to a row for all of them.
- His raw rate is the unshrunk number against that side — small samples make it noisy, which is why the simulator pulls his estimate toward a more trustworthy value.
- “Middle half of the league” is the 25th–75th percentile of all pitchers against that side.
- These are bases allowed, so lower is better. Weighted by how often he faces each side, the two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed — not the xEB/PA headline at the top of the page, which folds in strikeouts and walks differently.
- Shrunk splits beat raw splits on held-out seasons, most decisively at low batters-faced counts (relievers especially), and converge with the raw numbers as exposure builds.
Contact allowed
Batters go to the pull side off him most often, but the hardest contact goes up the middle.
Pull and oppo are relative to each batter's stance, so this pools all the hitters he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Luck check
Burned once — a ball with a hit probability under 20% that found grass anyway.
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Earned vs. actual
Results have matched the contact quality — batters have been credited about what they earned off Jordan Montgomery.
over 77 balls in play · walks and strikeouts excluded on both sides
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ERA 4.15 · WHIP 1.00 · BABIP against 0.230 (Lg median 0.287)
Times through order
Best games
Best games
His best outings this season by bases saved vs a replacement arm.
- vs Blue JaysSep 19, 2026
12 BF · 1 K, 1 BB
- Bases allowed
- 2.8
- Above replacement
- +3.5
- vs TwinsSep 27, 2026
10 BF · 3 K, 2 H
- Bases allowed
- 2.3
- Above replacement
- +2.9
- vs AngelsAug 13, 2026
12 BF · 2 K, 6 H
- Bases allowed
- 3.6
- Above replacement
- +2.6
- vs White SoxAug 24, 2026
6 BF · 2 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.7
- Above replacement
- +2.5
- vs D-backsSep 11, 2026
6 BF · 1 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.8
- Above replacement
- +2.4
Trends
Multi-season trends · Jordan Montgomery
BB% down, K% up, Barrel% against up, Hard-hit% against down, GB% against up, FB% against down vs his previous season
Actual rates — what happened on the field, season by season.