Alex Lange
2026Grade
Below league average across the board.
Lange is getting hit harder than most pitchers
The simulator expects 0.470 bases allowed per batter faced against him — better than 26th percentile of qualified pitchers. The soft spot is Command (17th percentile). Short relief stints inflate strikeout rates a touch, so read the Strikeouts spoke with that in mind.
225 batters faced · data through 2026-08-22.
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Plays like…
Same archetype, nearest by rate — pick one to see him side by side with Alex Lange.
Pitcher type
Pitcher type
Where he sits among qualified pitchers on the two skills that separate styles.
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| Alex Lange | League median | Percentile | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bases per ball in play(lower = better) | .545 | .528 | 26th |
| Walk rate(lower = better) | 11% | 9% | 17th |
| Strikeout rate(higher = better) | 23% | 22% | 65th |
100th percentile = best in MLB.
Arsenal
Alex Lange mixes his slider (32%) and sinker (24%). His best pitch has been the slider, saving 1.1 bases per 100 thrown vs average.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
allowed 102 bases vs a replacement arm's 116 over the same batters faced
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
5.9 bases cost vs league average, across 929 pitches — 0.6 per 100.
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Mix by batter side
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Alex Lange's pitch movement, 2026
None of his pitches have moved from their early-season shape.
Compared with his own earlier outings this season, not with other pitchers — and after taking out the drift every pitch in the league shows through midsummer.
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By appearance
One point per outing — how his velocity, movement, and pitch mix have moved across the season, with league context for scale. Each pitch keeps the same color in every chart.
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
Better vs RHB than vs LHB by 0.040 EB/PA allowed (modeled).
50% probable range: +0.032 to +0.048
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.493 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.473 to 0.512, based on 124 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.523 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.454 EB/PA.
Raw vs LHB rate (0.523) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.452 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.433 to 0.473, based on 102 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.422 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.440 EB/PA.
Raw vs RHB rate (0.422) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.
About the typical split for a righty arm (median 0.040). He allows more than the league median against both sides.
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- Tap or hover any mark for its number, or tab to a row for all of them.
- His raw rate is the unshrunk number against that side — small samples make it noisy, which is why the model pulls his estimate toward a more trustworthy value.
- “Middle half of the league” is the 25th–75th percentile of all pitchers against that side.
- These are bases allowed, so lower is better. Weighted by how often he faces each side, the two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed — not the xEB/PA headline at the top of the page, which folds in strikeouts and walks differently.
- Shrunk splits beat raw splits on held-out seasons, most decisively at low batters-faced counts (relievers especially), and converge with the raw numbers as exposure builds.
Contact allowed
Batters go to the pull side off him most often, and that's where the hardest contact comes from.
Pull and oppo are relative to each batter's stance, so this pools all the hitters he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Luck check
Escaped damage once — a crushed ball the simulator scores as a near-certain hit died in a glove behind him.
Burned 5 times — balls with a hit probability under 20% that found grass anyway.
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Earned vs. actual
Results have matched the contact quality — batters have been credited about what they earned off Alex Lange.
over 141 balls in play · walks and strikeouts excluded on both sides
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ERA 5.86 · WHIP 1.48 · BABIP against 0.319 (Lg median 0.286)
Best games
Best games
His best outings this season by bases saved vs a replacement arm.
- vs AthleticsAug 19, 2026
3 BF · 2 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.0
- Above replacement
- +1.5
- vs RaysJun 22, 2026
3 BF · 1 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.1
- Above replacement
- +1.4
- vs RedsJun 1, 2026
3 BF · 2 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.1
- Above replacement
- +1.4
- vs AthleticsApr 30, 2026
3 BF · 0 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.2
- Above replacement
- +1.3
- vs OriolesApr 22, 2026
3 BF · 1 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.2
- Above replacement
- +1.3
Trends
Multi-season trends · Alex Lange
HR allowed% up, BB% down, Barrel% against up, Hard-hit% against down, GB% against down, FB% against up, Pull% against up vs his previous season
Actual rates — what happened on the field, season by season.