Jack Flaherty
2026Grade
Below league average across the board.
Flaherty sits right around league average
The simulator expects 0.453 bases allowed per batter faced against him — better than 51st percentile of qualified pitchers. His standout tool is Strikeouts (84th percentile). The soft spot is Quiet Contact (6th percentile).
389 batters faced · data through 2026-08-22.
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Plays like…
Same archetype, nearest by rate — pick one to see him side by side with Jack Flaherty.
Pitcher type
Pitcher type
Where he sits among qualified pitchers on the two skills that separate styles.
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| Jack Flaherty | League median | Percentile | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bases per ball in play(lower = better) | .539 | .528 | 51st |
| Walk rate(lower = better) | 11% | 9% | 24th |
| Strikeout rate(higher = better) | 25% | 22% | 84th |
100th percentile = best in MLB.
Arsenal
Jack Flaherty leans on his four-seam fastball (49% of pitches). His best pitch has been the four-seam fastball, saving 1.9 bases per 100 thrown vs average.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
allowed 170 bases vs a replacement arm's 216 over the same batters faced
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
1.6 bases saved vs league average, across 1,597 pitches — 0.1 per 100.
Rarely used: changeup (3%)
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Mix by batter side
Compared with the league, his sinker tilts 19 points more toward lefties.
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Jack Flaherty's pitch movement, 2026
None of his pitches have moved from their early-season shape.
Compared with his own earlier outings this season, not with other pitchers — and after taking out the drift every pitch in the league shows through midsummer.
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By appearance
One point per outing — how his velocity, movement, and pitch mix have moved across the season, with league context for scale. Each pitch keeps the same color in every chart.
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
Better vs RHB than vs LHB by 0.038 EB/PA allowed (modeled).
50% probable range: +0.030 to +0.047
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.445 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.427 to 0.463, based on 214 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.445 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.454 EB/PA.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.407 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.388 to 0.425, based on 175 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.466 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.440 EB/PA.
About the typical split for a righty arm (median 0.040). He allows less than the league median against both sides, so his weaker side is still a strength — not a hole.
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- Tap or hover any mark for its number, or tab to a row for all of them.
- His raw rate is the unshrunk number against that side — small samples make it noisy, which is why the model pulls his estimate toward a more trustworthy value.
- “Middle half of the league” is the 25th–75th percentile of all pitchers against that side.
- These are bases allowed, so lower is better. Weighted by how often he faces each side, the two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed — not the xEB/PA headline at the top of the page, which folds in strikeouts and walks differently.
- Shrunk splits beat raw splits on held-out seasons, most decisively at low batters-faced counts (relievers especially), and converge with the raw numbers as exposure builds.
Contact allowed
Batters go to the pull side off him most often, and that's where the hardest contact comes from.
Pull and oppo are relative to each batter's stance, so this pools all the hitters he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Luck check
Escaped damage 4 times — crushed balls the simulator scores as near-certain hits that died in gloves behind him.
Burned 7 times — balls with a hit probability under 20% that found grass anyway.
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Earned vs. actual
Batters have been credited about 11 more bases than their contact off Jack Flaherty earned — his results have run unlucky so far.
over 237 balls in play · walks and strikeouts excluded on both sides
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ERA 4.59 · WHIP 1.41 · BABIP against 0.305 (Lg median 0.286)
Times through order
Best games
Best games
His best outings this season by bases saved vs a replacement arm.
- vs Red SoxMay 6, 2026
21 BF · 10 K, 1 BB, 3 H, 1 HBP
- Bases allowed
- 5.3
- Above replacement
- +6.4
- vs AstrosJun 28, 2026
20 BF · 9 K, 3 BB, 2 H
- Bases allowed
- 5.2
- Above replacement
- +6.0
- vs RoyalsApr 15, 2026
22 BF · 7 K, 3 BB, 2 H
- Bases allowed
- 6.3
- Above replacement
- +5.9
- vs RangersJul 4, 2026
21 BF · 5 K, 3 H, 1 HBP
- Bases allowed
- 5.9
- Above replacement
- +5.8
- vs Blue JaysMay 17, 2026
24 BF · 4 K, 5 H, 1 HR
- Bases allowed
- 8.8
- Above replacement
- +4.6
Trends
Multi-season trends · Jack Flaherty
HR allowed% down, BB% up, Barrel% against down, GB% against down vs last season
Actual rates — what happened on the field, season by season.