Ryan Yarbrough
2026Grade
Rarely walks anyone and lets the defense work.
Yarbrough sits right around league average
The simulator expects 0.449 bases allowed per batter faced against him — better than 56th percentile of qualified pitchers. His standout tool is Quiet Contact (99th percentile). The soft spot is Strikeouts (12th percentile). Short relief stints inflate strikeout rates a touch, so read the Strikeouts spoke with that in mind.
204 batters faced · data through 2026-08-22.
How to read this chart
Plays like…
Same archetype, nearest by rate — pick one to see him side by side with Ryan Yarbrough.
Pitcher type
Pitcher type
Where he sits among qualified pitchers on the two skills that separate styles.
How to read this chart
| Ryan Yarbrough | League median | Percentile | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bases per ball in play(lower = better) | .387 | .528 | 56th |
| Walk rate(lower = better) | 10% | 9% | 52nd |
| Strikeout rate(higher = better) | 19% | 22% | 12th |
100th percentile = best in MLB.
Arsenal
Ryan Yarbrough mixes his cutter (27%) and sweeper (22%). His best pitch has been the sinker, saving 2.3 bases per 100 thrown vs average.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
allowed 78 bases vs a replacement arm's 105 over the same batters faced
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
12.3 bases saved vs league average, across 792 pitches — 1.6 per 100.
How to read this chart
Mix by batter side
Compared with the league, his cutter tilts 34 points more toward righties.
How to read this chart
Ryan Yarbrough's pitch movement, 2026
His Sweeper has moved 2+ inches from its early-season shape; his other 4 have not.
Compared with his own earlier outings this season, not with other pitchers — and after taking out the drift every pitch in the league shows through midsummer.
How to read this chart
By appearance
One point per outing — how his velocity, movement, and pitch mix have moved across the season, with league context for scale. Each pitch keeps the same color in every chart.
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
Better vs LHB than vs RHB by 0.039 EB/PA allowed (modeled).
50% probable range: +0.030 to +0.048
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.426 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.406 to 0.447, based on 87 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.374 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.454 EB/PA.
Raw vs LHB rate (0.374) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.465 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.445 to 0.485, based on 118 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.403 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.440 EB/PA.
About the typical split for a lefty arm (median 0.039). Against righty bats he allows more than the league median — a genuine platoon vulnerability.
How to read this chart
- Tap or hover any mark for its number, or tab to a row for all of them.
- His raw rate is the unshrunk number against that side — small samples make it noisy, which is why the model pulls his estimate toward a more trustworthy value.
- “Middle half of the league” is the 25th–75th percentile of all pitchers against that side.
- These are bases allowed, so lower is better. Weighted by how often he faces each side, the two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed — not the xEB/PA headline at the top of the page, which folds in strikeouts and walks differently.
- Shrunk splits beat raw splits on held-out seasons, most decisively at low batters-faced counts (relievers especially), and converge with the raw numbers as exposure builds.
Contact allowed
Batters go up the middle off him most often, but the hardest contact goes to the pull side.
Pull and oppo are relative to each batter's stance, so this pools all the hitters he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Luck check
Escaped damage once — a crushed ball the simulator scores as a near-certain hit died in a glove behind him.
Burned 2 times — balls with a hit probability under 20% that found grass anyway.
How to read this chart
Earned vs. actual
Results have matched the contact quality — batters have been credited about what they earned off Ryan Yarbrough.
over 151 balls in play · walks and strikeouts excluded on both sides
How to read this chart
ERA 3.35 · WHIP 1.18 · BABIP against 0.250 (Lg median 0.286)
Times through order
Best games
Best games
His best outings this season by bases saved vs a replacement arm.
- vs OriolesAug 20, 2026
9 BF · 4 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.4
- Above replacement
- +4.3
- vs White SoxJun 16, 2026
10 BF · 3 K, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 1.0
- Above replacement
- +4.1
- vs OriolesMay 13, 2026
13 BF · 4 K, 3 H
- Bases allowed
- 2.7
- Above replacement
- +3.9
- vs DodgersJul 19, 2026
10 BF · 1 K, 2 H
- Bases allowed
- 2.4
- Above replacement
- +2.7
- vs AstrosApr 24, 2026
8 BF · 2 K, 1 BB, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 1.7
- Above replacement
- +2.4
Trends
Multi-season trends · Ryan Yarbrough
HR allowed% down, BB% up, K% down, Barrel% against down, Hard-hit% against down, GB% against down, FB% against up, Pull% against up vs last season
Actual rates — what happened on the field, season by season.