Ryan Yarbrough
2026Grade
Rarely walks anyone and lets the defense work.
Yarbrough is comfortably above average at limiting bases
The simulator expects him to allow 0.437 bases per batter faced, better than 77% of qualified pitchers. His best skill is limiting hard contact (99th percentile). His weakest skill is getting strikeouts (16th percentile). Short relief outings push strikeout rates up a little, so read his K% spoke with that in mind.
His grade rests on 268 batters faced, with data through 2026-09-27.
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Plays like…
Each of these pitchers shares his archetype and sits closest to him in xEB/PA. Pick one to see him side by side with Ryan Yarbrough.
Pitcher type
Pitcher type
He lands in the “Limits hard contact, pitches to contact” corner of the map.
League best:K% − BB% Jacob Misiorowski (26.8%)Hard-hit% allowed Blake Snell (29.0%)
How to read this chart
| Ryan Yarbrough | League median | Percentile | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bases per ball in play(lower = better) | .389 | .527 | — |
| Walk rate(lower = better) | 9% | 9% | 59th |
| Strikeout rate(higher = better) | 20% | 22% | 16th |
A higher percentile is better, and the 99th is the top of the league.
Arsenal
Ryan Yarbrough mixes his cutter (28%) and changeup (23%). His best pitch has been the sinker, saving 3.8 bases per 100 thrown against league average.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
He allowed about 99 estimated bases, against a replacement arm's 140 over the same batters faced.
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
He saved 19.6 bases against league average across 1,061 pitches, or 1.8 per 100 pitches.
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Mix by batter side
Compared with the league, his cutter tilts 26 points more toward righties.
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Ryan Yarbrough's pitch movement, 2026
His Sweeper has moved 2+ inches from its early-season shape, but his other 4 have not.
The verdict above compares each pitch with his own early-season outings in 2026, not with other pitchers, after taking out the league-wide drift in break.
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By appearance
These charts follow his velocity, movement and pitch mix one outing at a time, and each pitch keeps the same color in every chart. The velocity and movement charts also shade the middle of the league for scale.
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
He handles lefty bats better than righty bats, by 0.038 EB/PA allowed.
50% probable range: +0.029 to +0.046
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.407 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.388 to 0.426, based on 101 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.348 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.451 EB/PA.
His raw rate vs LHB (0.348) is off this scale. Small samples can push a raw rate this far, which is why the dot, the shrunk estimate, is the number to trust.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.445 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.426 to 0.464, based on 169 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.394 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.435 EB/PA.
His split is about typical for a lefty arm (median 0.038). Against righty bats he allows more than the league median, which is a real platoon weakness.
How to read this chart
- Each dot is his estimate against that side, with its 50% probable range as the bar. These are bases allowed, so lower is better.
- The diamond is his raw rate, which small samples make noisy, so the simulator pulls the dot toward a more trustworthy value.
- The dashed tick is the league median, and the shaded strip is the middle half of pitchers with 100 or more batters faced.
- The two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed, not the xEB/PA headline.
- Tap or hover a mark for its number. LHB and RHB are left- and right-handed batters. More on the About page
Contact allowed
Batters go to the pull side off him most often, and that's also where they do the most damage.
Pull side and opposite field depend on which side each batter hits from, so this pools every hitter he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Luck check
One out behind him came on a ball the simulator values at 1.5 bases or more.
4 hits off him had less than a 20% chance of being hits.
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Deserved vs. actual
Batters have been credited with about the bases their contact off Ryan Yarbrough deserved.
Both bars count 192 balls in play, with walks and strikeouts left out.
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ERA 3.69 · WHIP 1.22 · BABIP against 0.270 (Lg median 0.286)
Times through the order
Best games
Best games
These are his best outings this season, ranked by bases saved against a replacement arm.
- vs OriolesAug 20, 2026
9 BF · 4 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.4
- Above replacement
- +4.3
- vs White SoxJun 16, 2026
10 BF · 3 K, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 1.0
- Above replacement
- +4.2
- vs OriolesMay 13, 2026score only
13 BF · 4 K, 3 H
- Bases allowed
- 2.7
- Above replacement
- +4.1
- vs TwinsSep 15, 2026
7 BF · 0 K, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 0.5
- Above replacement
- +3.1
- vs MetsSep 12, 2026
6 BF · 1 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.2
- Above replacement
- +3.0
Trends
Multi-season trends · Ryan Yarbrough
Compared with last season, his HR allowed% is down, his BB% is up, his K% is down, his Barrel% against is down, his Hard-hit% against is down, his GB% against is down and his Pull% against is up.
Actual rates show what happened on the field, season by season.