Jimmy Herget
2026Grade
Below league average across the board.
Herget is getting hit harder than most pitchers
The simulator expects 0.479 bases allowed per batter faced against him — better than 16th percentile of qualified pitchers. The soft spot is Command (28th percentile). Short relief stints inflate strikeout rates a touch, so read the Strikeouts spoke with that in mind.
176 batters faced · data through 2026-08-23.
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Plays like…
Same archetype, nearest by rate — pick one to see him side by side with Jimmy Herget.
Pitcher type
Pitcher type
Where he sits among qualified pitchers on the two skills that separate styles.
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| Jimmy Herget | League median | Percentile | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bases per ball in play(lower = better) | .576 | .527 | 16th |
| Walk rate(lower = better) | 12% | 9% | 28th |
| Strikeout rate(higher = better) | 21% | 22% | 41st |
100th percentile = best in MLB.
Arsenal
Jimmy Herget mixes his slider (31%) and sweeper (30%). His best pitch has been the slider, saving 3.3 bases per 100 thrown vs average.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
allowed 88 bases vs a replacement arm's 90 over the same batters faced
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
10.0 bases cost vs league average, across 715 pitches — 1.4 per 100.
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Mix by batter side
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Jimmy Herget's pitch movement, 2026
His Slider has moved 2+ inches from its early-season shape; his other 4 have not.
Compared with his own earlier outings this season, not with other pitchers — and after taking out the drift every pitch in the league shows through midsummer.
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By appearance
One point per outing — how his velocity, movement, and pitch mix have moved across the season, with league context for scale. Each pitch keeps the same color in every chart.
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
Better vs RHB than vs LHB by 0.041 EB/PA allowed (modeled).
50% probable range: +0.032 to +0.049
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.490 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.468 to 0.510, based on 80 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.621 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.459 EB/PA.
Raw vs LHB rate (0.621) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.449 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.427 to 0.469, based on 96 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.428 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.441 EB/PA.
About the typical split for a righty arm (median 0.040). He allows more than the league median against both sides.
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- Tap or hover any mark for its number, or tab to a row for all of them.
- His raw rate is the unshrunk number against that side — small samples make it noisy, which is why the model pulls his estimate toward a more trustworthy value.
- “Middle half of the league” is the 25th–75th percentile of all pitchers against that side.
- These are bases allowed, so lower is better. Weighted by how often he faces each side, the two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed — not the xEB/PA headline at the top of the page, which folds in strikeouts and walks differently.
- Shrunk splits beat raw splits on held-out seasons, most decisively at low batters-faced counts (relievers especially), and converge with the raw numbers as exposure builds.
Contact allowed
Batters go to the pull side off him most often, and that's where the hardest contact comes from.
Pull and oppo are relative to each batter's stance, so this pools all the hitters he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Luck check
Escaped damage 3 times — crushed balls the simulator scores as near-certain hits that died in gloves behind him.
Burned 4 times — balls with a hit probability under 20% that found grass anyway.
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Earned vs. actual
Results have matched the contact quality — batters have been credited about what they earned off Jimmy Herget.
over 116 balls in play · walks and strikeouts excluded on both sides
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ERA 5.82 · WHIP 1.63 · BABIP against 0.318 (Lg median 0.286)
Best games
Best games
His best outings this season by bases saved vs a replacement arm.
- vs AstrosApr 6, 2026
7 BF · 1 K, 2 H
- Bases allowed
- 1.6
- Above replacement
- +2.0
- vs CubsJun 17, 2026
5 BF · 2 K, 2 H
- Bases allowed
- 0.7
- Above replacement
- +1.9
- vs DodgersApr 19, 2026
5 BF · 1 K, 2 H
- Bases allowed
- 0.7
- Above replacement
- +1.8
- vs GiantsJul 10, 2026
6 BF · 1 K, 1 BB, 2 H
- Bases allowed
- 1.5
- Above replacement
- +1.6
- vs D-backsAug 11, 2026
4 BF · 0 K, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 0.5
- Above replacement
- +1.6
Trends
Multi-season trends · Jimmy Herget
HR allowed% up, BB% up, K% down, Barrel% against up vs last season
Actual rates — what happened on the field, season by season.