Jacob Waguespack
2026Grade
Rarely walks anyone and lets the defense work.
Waguespack sits right around league average
The simulator expects him to allow 0.449 bases per batter faced, better than 56% of qualified pitchers. His best skill is limiting hard contact (96th percentile). Short relief outings push strikeout rates up a little, so read his K% spoke with that in mind.
His grade rests on 183 batters faced, with data through 2026-09-27.
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Plays like…
Each of these pitchers shares his archetype and sits closest to him in xEB/PA. Pick one to see him side by side with Jacob Waguespack.
Pitcher type
Pitcher type
He lands in the “Limits hard contact, pitches to contact” corner of the map.
League best:K% − BB% Jacob Misiorowski (26.8%)Hard-hit% allowed Blake Snell (29.0%)
How to read this chart
| Jacob Waguespack | League median | Percentile | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bases per ball in play(lower = better) | .438 | .527 | — |
| Walk rate(lower = better) | 10% | 9% | 32nd |
| Strikeout rate(higher = better) | 21% | 22% | 31st |
A higher percentile is better, and the 99th is the top of the league.
Arsenal
Jacob Waguespack mixes his four-seam fastball (42%) and cutter (32%). His best pitch has been the changeup, saving 5.0 bases per 100 thrown against league average, with a 40% whiff rate against a league median of 30%.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
He allowed about 74 estimated bases, against a replacement arm's 95 over the same batters faced.
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
He saved 6.6 bases against league average across 632 pitches, or 1.0 per 100 pitches.
His curveball isn't in the charts below, because only 40 of them were tracked with velocity and movement data this season.
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Mix by batter side
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Jacob Waguespack's pitch movement, 2026
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By appearance
These charts follow his velocity, movement and pitch mix one outing at a time, and each pitch keeps the same color in every chart. The velocity and movement charts also shade the middle of the league for scale. His curveball isn't in these charts, because only 40 of them were tracked with velocity and movement data this season.
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
He handles righty bats better than lefty bats, by 0.040 EB/PA allowed.
50% probable range: +0.032 to +0.048
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.464 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.443 to 0.484, based on 86 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.354 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.451 EB/PA.
His raw rate vs LHB (0.354) is off this scale. Small samples can push a raw rate this far, which is why the dot, the shrunk estimate, is the number to trust.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.424 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.403 to 0.443, based on 97 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.470 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.435 EB/PA.
His split is about typical for a righty arm (median 0.042). Against lefty bats he allows more than the league median, which is a real platoon weakness.
How to read this chart
- Each dot is his estimate against that side, with its 50% probable range as the bar. These are bases allowed, so lower is better.
- The diamond is his raw rate, which small samples make noisy, so the simulator pulls the dot toward a more trustworthy value.
- The dashed tick is the league median, and the shaded strip is the middle half of pitchers with 100 or more batters faced.
- The two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed, not the xEB/PA headline.
- Tap or hover a mark for its number. LHB and RHB are left- and right-handed batters. More on the About page
Contact allowed
Batters go to the pull side off him most often, and that's also where they do the most damage.
Pull side and opposite field depend on which side each batter hits from, so this pools every hitter he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Luck check
One out behind him came on a ball the simulator values at 1.5 bases or more.
3 hits off him had less than a 20% chance of being hits.
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Deserved vs. actual
Batters have been credited with about 10 fewer bases than their contact off Jacob Waguespack deserved, so his results have been lucky so far.
Both bars count 128 balls in play, with walks and strikeouts left out.
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ERA 2.49 · WHIP 0.91 · BABIP against 0.156 (Lg median 0.286)
Best games
Best games
These are his best outings this season, ranked by bases saved against a replacement arm.
- vs YankeesJun 30, 2026
7 BF · 2 K, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 0.7
- Above replacement
- +3.0
- vs Blue JaysSep 15, 2026
7 BF · 1 K, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 1.2
- Above replacement
- +2.4
- vs NationalsSep 23, 2026
7 BF · 2 K, 1 BB, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 1.6
- Above replacement
- +2.1
- vs YankeesJun 24, 2026
6 BF · 2 K, 1 HBP
- Bases allowed
- 1.1
- Above replacement
- +2.0
- vs White SoxSep 17, 2026
4 BF · 2 K, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 0.5
- Above replacement
- +1.6
Trends
Multi-season trends · Jacob Waguespack
Compared with his previous season, his HR allowed% is up, his BB% is down and his K% is down.
Actual rates show what happened on the field, season by season.