Jacob Waguespack
2026Grade
Rarely walks anyone and lets the defense work.
Waguespack sits right around league average
The simulator expects 0.456 bases allowed per batter faced against him — better than 45th percentile of qualified pitchers. His standout tool is Quiet Contact (87th percentile). The soft spot is HR Suppression (12th percentile). Short relief stints inflate strikeout rates a touch, so read the Strikeouts spoke with that in mind.
113 batters faced · data through 2026-08-23.
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Plays like…
Same archetype, nearest by rate — pick one to see him side by side with Jacob Waguespack.
Pitcher type
Pitcher type
Where he sits among qualified pitchers on the two skills that separate styles.
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| Jacob Waguespack | League median | Percentile | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bases per ball in play(lower = better) | .441 | .527 | 45th |
| Walk rate(lower = better) | 9% | 9% | 43rd |
| Strikeout rate(higher = better) | 19% | 22% | 18th |
100th percentile = best in MLB.
Arsenal
Jacob Waguespack mixes his four-seam fastball (44%) and cutter (32%). His best pitch has been the changeup, saving 4.3 bases per 100 thrown vs average.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
allowed 48 bases vs a replacement arm's 58 over the same batters faced
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
3.0 bases saved vs league average, across 398 pitches — 0.8 per 100.
His curveball isn't in the charts below — only 18 of them were tracked with velocity and movement data this season.
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Mix by batter side
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Jacob Waguespack's pitch movement, 2026
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By appearance
One point per outing — how his velocity, movement, and pitch mix have moved across the season, with league context for scale. Each pitch keeps the same color in every chart. His curveball isn't in these charts — only 18 of them were tracked with velocity and movement data this season.
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
Better vs RHB than vs LHB by 0.037 EB/PA allowed (modeled).
50% probable range: +0.029 to +0.045
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.482 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.459 to 0.503, based on 53 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.274 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.459 EB/PA.
Raw vs LHB rate (0.274) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.444 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.422 to 0.467, based on 60 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.566 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.441 EB/PA.
Raw vs RHB rate (0.566) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.
About the typical split for a righty arm (median 0.040). Against lefty bats he allows more than the league median — a genuine platoon vulnerability.
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- Tap or hover any mark for its number, or tab to a row for all of them.
- His raw rate is the unshrunk number against that side — small samples make it noisy, which is why the model pulls his estimate toward a more trustworthy value.
- “Middle half of the league” is the 25th–75th percentile of all pitchers against that side.
- These are bases allowed, so lower is better. Weighted by how often he faces each side, the two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed — not the xEB/PA headline at the top of the page, which folds in strikeouts and walks differently.
- Shrunk splits beat raw splits on held-out seasons, most decisively at low batters-faced counts (relievers especially), and converge with the raw numbers as exposure builds.
Contact allowed
Batters go to the pull side off him most often, and that's where the hardest contact comes from.
Pull and oppo are relative to each batter's stance, so this pools all the hitters he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Luck check
Escaped damage once — a crushed ball the simulator scores as a near-certain hit died in a glove behind him.
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Earned vs. actual
Batters have been credited about 7 fewer bases than their contact off Jacob Waguespack earned — his results have run lucky so far.
over 85 balls in play · walks and strikeouts excluded on both sides
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ERA 2.48 · WHIP 0.86 · BABIP against 0.125 (Lg median 0.286)
Best games
Best games
His best outings this season by bases saved vs a replacement arm.
- vs YankeesJun 30, 2026
7 BF · 2 K, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 0.7
- Above replacement
- +2.9
- vs YankeesJun 24, 2026
6 BF · 2 K, 1 HBP
- Bases allowed
- 1.1
- Above replacement
- +1.9
- vs GuardiansAug 11, 2026
9 BF · 0 K, 1 BB, 2 H
- Bases allowed
- 3.2
- Above replacement
- +1.4
- vs AstrosJun 17, 2026
6 BF · 1 K
- Bases allowed
- 1.7
- Above replacement
- +1.4
- vs White SoxAug 14, 2026
4 BF · 0 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.8
- Above replacement
- +1.3
Trends
Multi-season trends · Jacob Waguespack
HR allowed% up, BB% down, K% down vs his previous season
Actual rates — what happened on the field, season by season.