Lucas Sims
2026Grade
His grade is not ready yet
The simulator does not have enough data yet to grade how well he limits bases.
His grade rests on 46 batters faced, with data through 2026-09-27.
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Pitcher type
Arsenal
Lucas Sims leans on his four-seam fastball (46% of pitches). No pitch has beaten league-average results yet, and the four-seam fastball has come closest.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
He allowed about 19 estimated bases, against a replacement arm's 24 over the same batters faced.
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
He cost 2.8 bases against league average across 78 pitches, or 3.6 per 100 pitches.
Only his four-seam fastball is in the charts below, because the rest were tracked too rarely to plot.
He rarely throws his splitter and sinker (3% of his pitches combined).
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Mix by batter side
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Lucas Sims's pitch movement, 2026
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By appearance
These charts follow his velocity, movement and pitch mix one outing at a time, and each pitch keeps the same color in every chart. The velocity and movement charts also shade the middle of the league for scale. Only his four-seam fastball is in these charts, because the rest were tracked too rarely to plot.
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
He handles righty bats better than lefty bats, by 0.042 EB/PA allowed.
50% probable range: +0.034 to +0.049
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.507 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.484 to 0.529, based on 20 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.446 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.451 EB/PA.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.465 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.442 to 0.488, based on 27 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.456 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.435 EB/PA.
His split is about typical for a righty arm (median 0.042). He allows more than the league median against both sides.
How to read this chart
- Each dot is his estimate against that side, with its 50% probable range as the bar. These are bases allowed, so lower is better.
- The diamond is his raw rate, which small samples make noisy, so the simulator pulls the dot toward a more trustworthy value.
- The dashed tick is the league median, and the shaded strip is the middle half of pitchers with 100 or more batters faced.
- The two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed, not the xEB/PA headline.
- Tap or hover a mark for its number. LHB and RHB are left- and right-handed batters. More on the About page
Contact allowed
Batters go to the pull side off him most often, and that's also where they do the most damage.
Pull side and opposite field depend on which side each batter hits from, so this pools every hitter he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Luck check
One hit off him had less than a 20% chance of being a hit.
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Best games
Best games
These are his best outings this season, ranked by bases saved against a replacement arm.
- vs OriolesApr 6, 2026score only
6 BF · 2 K, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 1.2
- Above replacement
- +2.0
- vs RoyalsApr 12, 2026score only
3 BF · 1 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.4
- Above replacement
- +1.2
- vs RaysApr 14, 2026score only
8 BF · 1 K, 1 BB, 3 H
- Bases allowed
- 3.4
- Above replacement
- +0.8
- vs OriolesApr 8, 2026score only
4 BF · 1 K, 1 BB, 2 H
- Bases allowed
- 1.5
- Above replacement
- +0.6
- vs AthleticsApr 18, 2026score only
2 BF · 0 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.5
- Above replacement
- +0.5
Trends
Multi-season trends · Lucas Sims
Compared with last season, his HR allowed% is down, his BB% is down and his K% is up.
Actual rates show what happened on the field, season by season.