Max Fried
2026Grade
Suppresses damage and throws strikes — the full package.
Fried is among the league's best at preventing damage
The simulator expects 0.398 bases allowed per batter faced against him — better than 96th percentile of qualified pitchers. His standout tool is HR Suppression (99th percentile).
332 batters faced · data through 2026-08-22.
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Plays like…
Same archetype, nearest by rate — pick one to see him side by side with Max Fried.
Pitcher type
Pitcher type
Where he sits among qualified pitchers on the two skills that separate styles.
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| Max Fried | League median | Percentile | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bases per ball in play(lower = better) | .367 | .528 | 96th |
| Walk rate(lower = better) | 8% | 9% | 66th |
| Strikeout rate(higher = better) | 23% | 22% | 64th |
100th percentile = best in MLB.
Arsenal
Max Fried mixes his cutter (23%) and sinker (22%). His best pitch has been the cutter, saving 5.3 bases per 100 thrown vs average, and his cutter runs 3.9 mph above the league norm.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
allowed 110 bases vs a replacement arm's 185 over the same batters faced
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
40.0 bases saved vs league average, across 1,276 pitches — 3.1 per 100.
Rarely used: slider (2%)
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Mix by batter side
Compared with the league, his sinker tilts 18 points more toward lefties.
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Max Fried's pitch movement, 2026
3 of his 6 pitches have moved 2+ inches from their early-season shapes.
Compared with his own earlier outings this season, not with other pitchers — and after taking out the drift every pitch in the league shows through midsummer.
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By appearance
One point per outing — how his velocity, movement, and pitch mix have moved across the season, with league context for scale. Each pitch keeps the same color in every chart.
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
Better vs LHB than vs RHB by 0.038 EB/PA allowed (modeled).
50% probable range: +0.029 to +0.047
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.380 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.361 to 0.399, based on 82 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.303 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.454 EB/PA.
Raw vs LHB rate (0.303) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.419 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.400 to 0.437, based on 250 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.344 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.440 EB/PA.
Raw vs RHB rate (0.344) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.
About the typical split for a lefty arm (median 0.039). He allows less than the league median against both sides, so his weaker side is still a strength — not a hole.
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- Tap or hover any mark for its number, or tab to a row for all of them.
- His raw rate is the unshrunk number against that side — small samples make it noisy, which is why the model pulls his estimate toward a more trustworthy value.
- “Middle half of the league” is the 25th–75th percentile of all pitchers against that side.
- These are bases allowed, so lower is better. Weighted by how often he faces each side, the two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed — not the xEB/PA headline at the top of the page, which folds in strikeouts and walks differently.
- Shrunk splits beat raw splits on held-out seasons, most decisively at low batters-faced counts (relievers especially), and converge with the raw numbers as exposure builds.
Contact allowed
Batters go up the middle off him most often, but the hardest contact goes to the pull side.
Pull and oppo are relative to each batter's stance, so this pools all the hitters he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Luck check
Escaped damage 2 times — crushed balls the simulator scores as near-certain hits that died in gloves behind him.
Burned 7 times — balls with a hit probability under 20% that found grass anyway.
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Earned vs. actual
Results have matched the contact quality — batters have been credited about what they earned off Max Fried.
over 223 balls in play · walks and strikeouts excluded on both sides
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ERA 2.81 · WHIP 1.00 · BABIP against 0.258 (Lg median 0.286)
Times through order
Best games
Best games
His best outings this season by bases saved vs a replacement arm.
- vs MarinersMar 31, 2026
25 BF · 6 K, 1 BB, 3 H, 1 HBP
- Bases allowed
- 5.7
- Above replacement
- +8.2
- vs CubsAug 1, 2026
19 BF · 7 K, 1 BB, 2 H
- Bases allowed
- 2.9
- Above replacement
- +7.6
- vs RaysApr 11, 2026
30 BF · 6 K, 6 H
- Bases allowed
- 9.5
- Above replacement
- +7.2
- vs MarlinsApr 5, 2026
27 BF · 4 K, 3 BB, 5 H
- Bases allowed
- 8.2
- Above replacement
- +6.8
- vs RangersApr 27, 2026
21 BF · 5 K, 2 BB, 4 H
- Bases allowed
- 5.2
- Above replacement
- +6.5
Trends
Multi-season trends · Max Fried
HR allowed% down, BB% up, Barrel% against down, Hard-hit% against down, Pull% against down vs last season
Actual rates — what happened on the field, season by season.