Jeffrey Springs
2026Grade
Rarely walks anyone and lets the defense work.
Springs is getting hit harder than most pitchers
The simulator expects 0.484 bases allowed per batter faced against him — better than 11th percentile of qualified pitchers. His standout tool is Quiet Contact (77th percentile). The soft spot is HR Suppression (3rd percentile).
504 batters faced · data through 2026-08-22.
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Plays like…
Same archetype, nearest by rate — pick one to see him side by side with Jeffrey Springs.
Pitcher type
Pitcher type
Where he sits among qualified pitchers on the two skills that separate styles.
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| Jeffrey Springs | League median | Percentile | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bases per ball in play(lower = better) | .554 | .528 | 11th |
| Walk rate(lower = better) | 9% | 9% | 48th |
| Strikeout rate(higher = better) | 19% | 22% | 18th |
100th percentile = best in MLB.
Arsenal
Jeffrey Springs mixes his four-seam fastball (44%) and slider (25%). His changeup has performed closest to league average, with a 38% whiff rate.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
allowed 248 bases vs a replacement arm's 280 over the same batters faced
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
31.5 bases cost vs league average, across 1,919 pitches — 1.6 per 100.
Rarely used: cutter (2%)
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Mix by batter side
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Jeffrey Springs's pitch movement, 2026
3 of his 4 pitches have moved 2+ inches from their early-season shapes.
Compared with his own earlier outings this season, not with other pitchers — and after taking out the drift every pitch in the league shows through midsummer.
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By appearance
One point per outing — how his velocity, movement, and pitch mix have moved across the season, with league context for scale. Each pitch keeps the same color in every chart.
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
Better vs LHB than vs RHB by 0.040 EB/PA allowed (modeled).
50% probable range: +0.030 to +0.048
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.460 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.443 to 0.479, based on 149 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.454 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.454 EB/PA.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.499 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.482 to 0.517, based on 357 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.512 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.440 EB/PA.
About the typical split for a lefty arm (median 0.039). He allows more than the league median against both sides.
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- Tap or hover any mark for its number, or tab to a row for all of them.
- His raw rate is the unshrunk number against that side — small samples make it noisy, which is why the model pulls his estimate toward a more trustworthy value.
- “Middle half of the league” is the 25th–75th percentile of all pitchers against that side.
- These are bases allowed, so lower is better. Weighted by how often he faces each side, the two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed — not the xEB/PA headline at the top of the page, which folds in strikeouts and walks differently.
- Shrunk splits beat raw splits on held-out seasons, most decisively at low batters-faced counts (relievers especially), and converge with the raw numbers as exposure builds.
Contact allowed
Batters go to the pull side off him most often, and that's where the hardest contact comes from.
Pull and oppo are relative to each batter's stance, so this pools all the hitters he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Luck check
Escaped damage 2 times — crushed balls the simulator scores as near-certain hits that died in gloves behind him.
Burned 10 times — balls with a hit probability under 20% that found grass anyway.
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Earned vs. actual
Batters have been credited about 27 more bases than their contact off Jeffrey Springs earned — his results have run unlucky so far.
over 362 balls in play · walks and strikeouts excluded on both sides
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ERA 6.02 · WHIP 1.48 · BABIP against 0.272 (Lg median 0.286)
Times through order
Best games
Best games
His best outings this season by bases saved vs a replacement arm.
- vs YankeesApr 9, 2026
25 BF · 6 K, 2 BB, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 5.3
- Above replacement
- +8.6
- vs RangersApr 25, 2026
26 BF · 4 K, 2 BB, 5 H, 1 HR, 1 HBP
- Bases allowed
- 7.8
- Above replacement
- +6.7
- vs GiantsJun 25, 2026
21 BF · 6 K, 2 BB, 3 H, 1 HR
- Bases allowed
- 6.2
- Above replacement
- +5.5
- vs AstrosApr 3, 2026
21 BF · 7 K, 1 BB, 2 H
- Bases allowed
- 6.3
- Above replacement
- +5.4
- vs CardinalsMay 12, 2026
25 BF · 5 K, 3 BB, 7 H
- Bases allowed
- 9.0
- Above replacement
- +4.9
Trends
Multi-season trends · Jeffrey Springs
HR allowed% up, BB% up, Barrel% against up, FB% against up, Pull% against up vs last season
Actual rates — what happened on the field, season by season.