Blake Snell
2026Grade
Suppresses damage and throws strikes — the full package.
Snell is among the league's best at preventing damage
The simulator expects 0.416 bases allowed per batter faced against him — better than 92nd percentile of qualified pitchers. His standout tool is Quiet Contact (99th percentile). The soft spot is Command (29th percentile).
154 batters faced · data through 2026-09-11.
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Plays like…
Same archetype, nearest by rate — pick one to see him side by side with Blake Snell.
Pitcher type
Pitcher type
Where he sits among qualified pitchers on the two skills that separate styles.
League best:K% − BB% Jacob Misiorowski (26.7%)Hard-hit% against Blake Snell (29.8%)
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| Blake Snell | League median | Percentile | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bases per ball in play(lower = better) | .346 | .527 | 92nd |
| Walk rate(lower = better) | 10% | 9% | 29th |
| Strikeout rate(higher = better) | 26% | 22% | 95th |
100th percentile = best in MLB.
Arsenal
Blake Snell leans on his four-seam fastball (49% of pitches). His best pitch has been the changeup, saving 5.9 bases per 100 thrown vs average, with a 45% whiff rate.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
allowed 46 bases vs a replacement arm's 82 over the same batters faced
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
23.0 bases saved vs league average, across 645 pitches — 3.6 per 100.
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Mix by batter side
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Blake Snell's pitch movement, 2026
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By appearance
One point per outing — how his velocity, movement, and pitch mix have moved across the season, with league context for scale. Each pitch keeps the same color in every chart.
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
Better vs LHB than vs RHB by 0.037 EB/PA allowed (modeled).
50% probable range: +0.028 to +0.046
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.364 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.343 to 0.386, based on 48 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.352 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.455 EB/PA.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.401 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.381 to 0.422, based on 107 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.279 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.438 EB/PA.
Raw vs RHB rate (0.279) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.
About the typical split for a lefty arm (median 0.038). He allows less than the league median against both sides, so his weaker side is still a strength — not a hole.
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- Tap or hover any mark for its number, or tab to a row for all of them.
- His raw rate is the unshrunk number against that side — small samples make it noisy, which is why the simulator pulls his estimate toward a more trustworthy value.
- “Middle half of the league” is the 25th–75th percentile of all pitchers against that side.
- These are bases allowed, so lower is better. Weighted by how often he faces each side, the two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed — not the xEB/PA headline at the top of the page, which folds in strikeouts and walks differently.
- Shrunk splits beat raw splits on held-out seasons, most decisively at low batters-faced counts (relievers especially), and converge with the raw numbers as exposure builds.
Contact allowed
Batters go to the pull side off him most often, but the hardest contact goes to the opposite field.
Pull and oppo are relative to each batter's stance, so this pools all the hitters he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Luck check
Escaped damage once — a crushed ball the simulator scores as a near-certain hit died in a glove behind him.
Burned 3 times — balls with a hit probability under 20% that found grass anyway.
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Earned vs. actual
Results have matched the contact quality — batters have been credited about what they earned off Blake Snell.
over 86 balls in play · walks and strikeouts excluded on both sides
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ERA 1.91 · WHIP 1.09 · BABIP against 0.291 (Lg median 0.287)
Times through order
Best games
Best games
His best outings this season by bases saved vs a replacement arm.
- vs RoyalsAug 11, 2026
22 BF · 10 K, 1 BB, 3 H
- Bases allowed
- 4.6
- Above replacement
- +7.2
- vs TigersAug 29, 2026
22 BF · 10 K, 3 BB, 3 H
- Bases allowed
- 5.7
- Above replacement
- +6.0
- vs MarlinsSep 11, 2026
22 BF · 8 K, 2 BB, 4 H
- Bases allowed
- 5.9
- Above replacement
- +5.8
- vs NationalsSep 4, 2026
23 BF · 7 K, 2 BB, 5 H
- Bases allowed
- 7.0
- Above replacement
- +5.2
- vs RockiesAug 17, 2026
23 BF · 5 K, 3 BB, 2 H
- Bases allowed
- 7.3
- Above replacement
- +5.0
Trends
Multi-season trends · Blake Snell
HR allowed% down, K% up, Barrel% against down, Hard-hit% against down, GB% against down, Pull% against down vs last season
Actual rates — what happened on the field, season by season.