Hoby Milner
2026Grade
Rarely walks anyone and lets the defense work.
Milner has been below average at limiting damage
The simulator expects 0.463 bases allowed per batter faced against him — better than 35th percentile of qualified pitchers. His standout tool is Command (83rd percentile). The soft spot is Strikeouts (6th percentile). Short relief stints inflate strikeout rates a touch, so read the Strikeouts spoke with that in mind.
149 batters faced · data through 2026-08-22.
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Plays like…
Same archetype, nearest by rate — pick one to see him side by side with Hoby Milner.
Pitcher type
Pitcher type
Where he sits among qualified pitchers on the two skills that separate styles.
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| Hoby Milner | League median | Percentile | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bases per ball in play(lower = better) | .461 | .528 | 35th |
| Walk rate(lower = better) | 7% | 9% | 83rd |
| Strikeout rate(higher = better) | 17% | 22% | 6th |
100th percentile = best in MLB.
Arsenal
Hoby Milner mixes his sinker (42%) and sweeper (28%). His best pitch has been the sweeper, saving 1.6 bases per 100 thrown vs average.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
allowed 65 bases vs a replacement arm's 76 over the same batters faced
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
1.6 bases saved vs league average, across 568 pitches — 0.3 per 100.
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Mix by batter side
Compared with the league, his sinker tilts 15 points more toward righties.
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Hoby Milner's pitch movement, 2026
None of his pitches have moved from their early-season shape.
Compared with his own earlier outings this season, not with other pitchers — and after taking out the drift every pitch in the league shows through midsummer.
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By appearance
One point per outing — how his velocity, movement, and pitch mix have moved across the season, with league context for scale. Each pitch keeps the same color in every chart.
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
Better vs LHB than vs RHB by 0.038 EB/PA allowed (modeled).
50% probable range: +0.029 to +0.047
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.479 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.458 to 0.501, based on 75 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.429 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.454 EB/PA.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.518 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.495 to 0.537, based on 74 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.462 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.440 EB/PA.
About the typical split for a lefty arm (median 0.039). He allows more than the league median against both sides.
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- Tap or hover any mark for its number, or tab to a row for all of them.
- His raw rate is the unshrunk number against that side — small samples make it noisy, which is why the model pulls his estimate toward a more trustworthy value.
- “Middle half of the league” is the 25th–75th percentile of all pitchers against that side.
- These are bases allowed, so lower is better. Weighted by how often he faces each side, the two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed — not the xEB/PA headline at the top of the page, which folds in strikeouts and walks differently.
- Shrunk splits beat raw splits on held-out seasons, most decisively at low batters-faced counts (relievers especially), and converge with the raw numbers as exposure builds.
Contact allowed
Batters go up the middle off him most often, but the hardest contact goes to the pull side.
Pull and oppo are relative to each batter's stance, so this pools all the hitters he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Luck check
Escaped damage once — a crushed ball the simulator scores as a near-certain hit died in a glove behind him.
Burned 3 times — balls with a hit probability under 20% that found grass anyway.
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Earned vs. actual
Results have matched the contact quality — batters have been credited about what they earned off Hoby Milner.
over 118 balls in play · walks and strikeouts excluded on both sides
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ERA 3.53 · WHIP 1.21 · BABIP against 0.263 (Lg median 0.286)
Best games
Best games
His best outings this season by bases saved vs a replacement arm.
- vs PadresApr 28, 2026
4 BF · 1 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.2
- Above replacement
- +1.8
- vs BrewersMay 20, 2026
4 BF · 1 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.3
- Above replacement
- +1.8
- vs White SoxMay 17, 2026
5 BF · 2 K, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 0.9
- Above replacement
- +1.7
- vs PhilliesApr 22, 2026
4 BF · 2 K, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 0.5
- Above replacement
- +1.5
- vs RaysApr 8, 2026
3 BF · 1 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.1
- Above replacement
- +1.4
Trends
Multi-season trends · Hoby Milner
HR allowed% up, BB% down, K% down, Barrel% against down, GB% against down, Pull% against down vs last season
Actual rates — what happened on the field, season by season.